BetAmerica’s horse racing pick of the day: Arlington Park, Sept. 11

September 11th, 2020

Arlington Park features eight races on Friday, Sept. 11. Here are our weekday picks and plays for Thoroughbred racing at Arlington.

Arlington Park, Race 1: Maiden special weight (6 furlongs on Polytrack, 3:05 p.m. ET)

Triple Crown nominee #5 Atone (4-5 on the morning line) is the expected favorite after finishing sixth with a troubled trip over the Woodbine Tapeta track on Aug. 16. Hopelessly blocked behind rivals around the turn and down the stretch, the Godolphin homebred was only beaten 2 1/2 lengths, despite never getting a chance to lengthen his stride.

The son of Into Mischief will be formidable if he gets a clean run on Friday, though #6 Rule Follower (5-2) is also intriguing. Rule Follower weakened while finishing fifth in his first two starts over the Arlington turf course, but switching to Polytrack could trigger an improved performance from this well-bred son of Algorithms.

In terms of connections alone, Rule Follower warrants respect. Trainer Larry Rivelli has won at a 36% rate at Arlington this summer. Hot jockey Jareth Loveberry has ridden 40 winners this meet through Sept. 9 (twice as many as any other jockey), striking at a 40% rate when teaming up with Rivelli.

Atone and Rule Follower appear to rank a cut above their opposition, so let’s box them in the exacta, favoring the lower-paying combination with Atone on top.

$13 exacta: 5 with 6
$7 exacta: 6 with 5
Total: $20

Good luck!


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