BetAmerica’s horse racing pick of the day: July 1, Gulfstream Park

July 1st, 2020

Weekday picks and plays for Thoroughbred racing.

Wednesday, July 1

Gulfstream Park, Race 6: Allowance/optional claiming (1 mile, 2:37 p.m. ET)

The stakes-placed sprinter #3 Overdeliver (9-5 on the morning line) has shown new life since he was claimed in December by high-percentage trainer Saffie Joseph.

The son of Overanalyze has won two of his three subsequent starts and was clearly best in a 1-mile allowance race May 2 at Gulfstream Park, where he rallied strongly from off the pace to win by 2 1/4 lengths.

That eye-catching performance yielded a career-best 100 Brisnet Speed rating, along with a 100 Brisnet Late Pace rating. These figures stamp Overdeliver as the horse to beat in his return to action over the same track and distance.

Jockey Edgard Zayas has won at a 31% rate when he has teamed up with Joseph over the last 60 days, and Overdeliver has enough tactical speed to work out a clean trip in this small field.

Overdeliver’s graded stakes-placed stablemate, #5 Outshine (6-1), can likewise factor in his first start for Joseph, who wins at a 35% rate with recent claiming acquisitions.

In addition to betting Overdeliver to win, let’s key Outshine underneath Overdeliver in a couple of small trifectas.

$20 to win on #3 Overdeliver
$2.50 trifecta: 3 with 5 with 2,4 ($5)
$2.50 trifecta: 3 with 2,4 with 5 ($5)
Total: $30

Good luck!

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