Holland's North American free racing picks for Oct. 19

Handicapper Tim Holland provides us with several nice prices this Monday morning. Find our free expert racing picks from Indiana Grand, Thistledown, and Presque Isle Downs.

Indiana Grand

Race 5

Trainer Garcia wins with 10% of his first-time starters and saddles #7 Twirling Katie (8-1), who has a good win-early pedigree being by Twirling Candy and out of a mare by Songandaprayer. Dark bay has been working well, and Garcia has won with 22% of his runners at this meet. Filly may win at first asking at this low level with Morales aboard.

Race 8

#7 Treasure Trove (9-2) closed to pass the post third before being promoted to second in his latest over one mile last month in his second start for Genaro Garcia. Son of Tapizar has hit the board in two of three career starts on turf, and Garcia wins with 16% of his runners in allowance events. Gelding can be in good position from the start and may reverse placings with two that bested him last time. Pedroza retains the mount.

Thistledown

Race 8

Maidens going 5 1/2 furlongs include #2 Magic Train (8-1), a debuting son of Zulu Magic, whose offspring have won 31% of their first outings. Gelding is out of a mare by 17% debut sire Valid Expectations, and works include a 3-furlong move in :36 2/5 from the gate this month for trainer Gorham, who wins with 13% of his first-timers. Dark bay appears ready for a good first outing under Pilares, who has won with 21% of his rides for the barn in the past two months.

Presque Isle Downs

Race 5

A competitive field for the HBPA S. includes last year’s runner-up #11 Irony of Reality (10-1). Mare may not have cared for the surface in her latest when unplaced at Pimlico in her one lifetime start on regular dirt, but has a record of 8-5-2-0 on this artificial surface and makes her fourth start of the year for trainer Potts, who has won with 20% of his runners at this meet. Daughter of Animal Kingdom should find a solid pace to close into under Villa-Gomez, who was aboard for mare’s second-place finish here 12 months ago.