In-depth Saratoga trainer capsules (Part 3)
The Saratoga meet is filled with extremely competitive fields and difficult handicapping puzzles. One of the best ways to make your handicapping easier and better is by following trainer trends, which can be useful in narrowing down the races to their few top contenders.
All trainers have their own particular strengths and weaknesses. The beauty of following the trainer angles, stats and trends, is that they help you identify these strengths and weaknesses to give you the advantage over the rest of the betting public.
Bet trainers at their strengths and bet against them at their weaknesses, and your win percentage and return on investment (ROI) will go upward quickly.
Read onward for an easy-to-use pocket reference for the best times to bet on, and bet against, most of the top trainers throughout the summer meet at historic Saratoga Race Course. The opinions are based on recent trends and statistics pertaining specifically to this time of year – the racing season at Saratoga. These preferences may differ elsewhere and at other times of the year.
Apologies if a particular trainer is not mentioned in this guide; it’s impossible to feature everyone. The 32 trainers listed will account for the vast majority of starters at the Spa meet. This is the third part of a three-part series.
Please click for Part 1 (A-C) and Part 2 (D-M).
SARATOGA SUMMER TRAINER CAPSULES (P-Z)
Todd Pletcher
Pletcher perennially excels at every facet of the game at Saratoga. Overall, he does better in distance races than in sprints, with the key exception being 2-year-olds, which account for the majority of his dirt sprint winners at Saratoga. Bet Pletcher in juvenile races, and with second-time starters. Almost every good Pletcher maiden wins either first- or second-time out (on dirt), so bet them in those races, unless they resort to turf races. Turf sprints, in particular, are throw-away races for Pletcher’s throw away horses. If a maiden hasn’t graduated by its second start, stop betting it.
- Bet: Two-year-olds, turf routes, stakes, maiden first- and second-time starters. Long distances
- Bet against: Turf sprints, maidens beyond their second starts, first starters in turf races
- Neutral: Three-year-old and older dirt sprints
- Bet: Turf sprints, 2-year-olds (particularly NY-breds)
- Bet against: Dirt routes
- Neutral: Turf routes
- Bet: Recent claims, claiming sprints, New York-bred races, first starters (mainly maiden claiming)
- Bet against: Turf routes
- Neutral: Turf sprints
- Bet: Claimers and recent claims (first- and second-time off the claim)
- Bet against: Route races and all turf routes
- Neutral: Turf sprints
- Bet: Turf sprints, turf miles
- Bet against: Dirt
- Neutral: Maidens, longer turf races
- Bet: Turf sprints! Maiden claimers
- Bet against: Dirt routes
- Neutral: Dirt sprints, turf routes
- Bet: First starters, dirt routes, turf sprints
- Bet against: Dirt sprints, except maidens
- Neutral: Turf routes
- Bet: Turf Routes, dirt sprints, 2-year-olds, first-time turf
- Bet against: Dirt routes
- Neutral: Turf sprints
- Bet: Second-time starters, except on turf
- Bet against: All turf races
- Neutral: 2-year-olds
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