Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Blue Grass Stakes
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April 10th, 2018
Good Magic rallied to win the Blue Grass (G2) at Keeneland by a comfortable 1 ½-length margin, rebounding from an even third at 3-5 odds in the Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream, but he’ll need to improve upon a 98 BRIS Speed rating in the Kentucky Derby.
The champion 2-year-old male registered a 105 Speed figure powering his way to a 4 ¼-length victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall and supporters will be projecting a major step forward in the third start back this year at Churchill Downs.
Jose Ortiz rides for Chad Brown, who recorded his first Triple Crown race win with Cloud Computing in last year’s Preakness.
Flameaway established a pressured pace and never quit trying after being overhauled in upper stretch, battling gamely to the wire. Winner of the Sam F. Davis (G3) three back, the Mark Casse-conditioned son of Scat Daddy has registered back-to-back 97 BRIS Speed ratings finishing second in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) and Blue Grass.
Free Drop Billy never posed a threat to the top two but was impeded late by a drifting Sporting Chance, who won’t make the Kentucky Derby field after being disqualified and placed fourth (only 12 points). Free Drop Billy picked up 20 points after being elevated to third and appears safely within the main body in 15th with 44 points. But he’s never posted a triple-digit BRIS Speed number from seven stakes attempts and received only a 94 in the Blue Grass.
The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.
Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (95 and better):
|
Horse |
|
Race (finish) |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Justify |
|
Santa Anita Derby (1st) |
|
114 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
Santa Anita Derby (2nd) |
|
110 |
|
Audible |
|
Florida Derby (1st) |
|
107 |
|
Enticed |
|
Gotham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Fountain of Youth (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Hofburg |
|
Florida Derby (2nd) |
|
104 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Wood Memorial (1st) |
|
102 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Santa Anita Derby (4th) |
|
102 |
|
Magnum Moon |
|
Rebel (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Louisiana Derby (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Lone Sailor |
|
Louisiana Derby (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Enticed |
|
Wood Memorial (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Louisiana Derby (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
San Felipe (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Bravazo |
|
Risen Star (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Blue Grass (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Quip |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Snapper Sinclair |
|
Risen Star (2nd) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Fountain of Youth (3rd) |
|
98 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Blue Grass (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Runaway Ghost |
|
Sunland Derby (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Solomini |
|
Rebel (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Combatant |
|
Rebel (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Gotham (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Risen Star (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Risen Star (4th) |
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:
|
Horse (finish) |
|
Race |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Audible |
|
Holy Bull (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
FrontRunner (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Good Magic |
|
BC Juvenile (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Sam F. Davis (1st) |
|
101 |
|
Solomini |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd) |
|
101 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Solomini |
|
BC Juvenile (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Sam F. Davis (3rd) |
|
100 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Holy Bull (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
BC Juvenile (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Southwest (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Champagne (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Lecomte (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Champagne (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Solomini |
|
FrontRunner (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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