Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Lexington Stakes
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April 17th, 2018
The short stretch for 1 1/16-mile races at Keeneland proved no obstacle for dedicated closer My Boy Jack, who rallied from far back to win the Lexington Stakes (G3) by a neck. He netted only a 94 BRIS Speed rating winning his second Kentucky Derby prep race in 2018.
Trained by Keith Desormeaux, My Boy Jack earned a 98 Speed rating posting a minor upset in the February 19 Southwest (G3) and a 99 finishing a close third in the March 24 TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (G2) after an extremely wide trip. The son of Creative Cause registered 101-106 BRIS Late Pace numbers for those efforts.
My Boy Jack lacks a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating, a threshold reached by 17 of the last 20 Kentucky Derby winners, and it’s tough to make a viable case for him as a win contender. But with an abundance of speed lining up for the Kentucky Derby, the race shape could favor the late runner and I’m not counting My Boy Jack out of exotics consideration.
The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.
Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (90 and better):
|
Horse |
|
Race (finish) |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Justify |
|
Santa Anita Derby (1st) |
|
114 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
Santa Anita Derby (2nd) |
|
110 |
|
Audible |
|
Florida Derby (1st) |
|
107 |
|
Enticed |
|
Gotham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Fountain of Youth (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Hofburg |
|
Florida Derby (2nd) |
|
104 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Wood Memorial (1st) |
|
102 |
|
Magnum Moon |
|
Rebel (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Louisiana Derby (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Lone Sailor |
|
Louisiana Derby (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Magnum Moon |
|
Arkansas Derby (1st) |
|
99 |
|
Enticed |
|
Wood Memorial (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Louisiana Derby (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
San Felipe (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Bravazo |
|
Risen Star (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Blue Grass (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Quip |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Fountain of Youth (3rd) |
|
98 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Blue Grass (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Solomini |
|
Rebel (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Combatant |
|
Rebel (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Gotham (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Risen Star (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Quip |
|
Arkansas Derby (2nd) |
|
95 |
|
Solomini |
|
Arkansas Derby (3rd) |
|
95 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Lexington (1st) |
|
94 |
|
Combatant |
|
Arkansas Derby (4th) |
|
94 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:
|
Horse (finish) |
|
Race |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Audible |
|
Holy Bull (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
FrontRunner (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Good Magic |
|
BC Juvenile (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Sam F. Davis (1st) |
|
101 |
|
Solomini |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd) |
|
101 |
|
Solomini |
|
BC Juvenile (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Sam F. Davis (3rd) |
|
100 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Holy Bull (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
BC Juvenile (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Southwest (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Champagne (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Lecomte (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Champagne (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Solomini |
|
FrontRunner (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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