Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: San Felipe
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March 13th, 2018
The San Felipe (G2) lived up to the hype as top Kentucky Derby contenders Bolt d’Oro and McKinzie matched strides in a thrilling stretch-long duel to the wire. McKinzie prevailed by a head in the roughly-run race, with multiple bumping incidents along the way, but stewards disqualified him for drifting out late and declared Bolt d’Oro the winner.
Each received a 98 BRIS Speed rating.
McKinzie was exiting a spectacular victory in the January 6 Sham (G3) that generated a 104 Speed rating and the Bob Baffert-trained colt failed to register a triple-digit number for the first time in a four-race career.
Bolt d’Oro, who was making his first appearance for Mick Ruis since a troubled third as the favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), distinguished himself last fall when earning a 105 for a FrontRunner (G1) win.
They’ve run faster in previous starts and while I’m a little dubious of the San Felipe numbers due to the changing nature of a rain-deluged oval still listed as “fast” at post time, Bolt d’Oro and McKinzie will be counted on to deliver better BRIS Speed ratings in the final prep.
The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.
Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (90 and above):
|
Horse |
|
Race (finish) |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Enticed |
|
Gotham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Fountain of Youth (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Strike Power |
|
Fountain of Youth (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Old Time Revival |
|
Gotham (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
San Felipe (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Bravazo |
|
Risen Star (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Quip |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (1st) |
|
98 |
|
McKinzie |
|
San Felipe (2nd) |
|
98 |
|
Snapper Sinclair |
|
Risen Star (2nd) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Fountain of Youth (3rd) |
|
98 |
|
World of Trouble |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Gotham (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Risen Star (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
World of Trouble |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Machismo |
|
Fountain of Youth (4th) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Risen Star (4th) |
|
95 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Gotham (4th) |
|
93 |
|
Kanthaka |
|
San Felipe (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (4th) |
|
91 |
|
Peace |
|
San Felipe (4th) |
|
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:
|
Horse (finish) |
|
Race |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Audible |
|
Holy Bull (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
FrontRunner (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Good Magic |
|
BC Juvenile (1st) |
|
105 |
|
McKinzie |
|
Sham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Sam F. Davis (1st) |
|
101 |
|
Catholic Boy |
|
Sam F. Davis (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Solomini |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd) |
|
101 |
|
McKinzie |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Solomini |
|
BC Juvenile (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Sam F. Davis (3rd) |
|
100 |
|
All Out Blitz |
|
Sham (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Holy Bull (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
BC Juvenile (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
Catholic Boy |
|
Remsen (1st) |
|
98 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Southwest (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Champagne (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Lecomte (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Champagne (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Solomini |
|
FrontRunner (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Avery Island |
|
Withers (1st) |
|
94 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Jerome (1st) |
|
94 |
|
Seven Trumpets |
|
Jerome (2nd) |
|
94 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Sham (3rd) |
|
94 |
|
Shivermetimbers |
|
Sham (4th) |
|
94 |
|
Enticed |
|
Ky Jockey Club (1st) |
|
93 |
|
Greyvitos |
|
Springboard Mile (1st) |
|
93 |
|
Avery Island |
|
Remsen (2nd) |
|
93 |
|
Tiz Mischief |
|
Ky Jockey Club (2nd) |
|
93 |
|
The Tabulator |
|
Iroquois (1st) |
|
92 |
|
Combatant |
|
Southwest (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Withers (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Principe Guilherme |
|
Lecomte (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Enticed |
|
Champagne (3rd) |
|
92 |
|
Snapper Sinclair |
|
Lecomte (3rd) |
|
92 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Breeders’ Futurity (1st) |
|
91 |
|
Combatant |
|
Springboard Mile (2nd) |
|
91 |
|
Hollywood Star |
|
Iroquois (2nd) |
|
91 |
|
Marconi |
|
Withers (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Vouch |
|
Remsen (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Ky Jockey Club (3rd) |
|
90 |
|
Enticed |
|
Holy Bull (4th) |
|
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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