Kentucky Derby BRIS Speed Rating Report: Tampa Bay Derby
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March 13th, 2018
Quip made a triumphant return in the March 10 Tampa Bay Derby (G2), outperforming 19-1 odds in the first appearance since a troubled seventh in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) last November. It’s the third upset from five races so far in the Championship Series, with Bravazo surprising at 21-1 in the Risen Star (G2) and Promises Fulfilled wiring foes at 18-1 in the Fountain of Youth (G2), and the 50-point prize ensures the son of Distorted Humor a spot in the Kentucky Derby starting gate.
Considering he brought a declining pattern of BRIS Speed ratings (88-86-84) into his seasonal bow, Quip turned things around nicely registering a 98 Speed. That number is on par with the top two from the San Felipe (G2) (Bolt d’Oro and McKinzie) but those rivals had run much faster previously.
Now 3-for-4 overall for conditioner Rudolphe Brisset, Quip is one of several Kentucky Derby contenders this year for WinStar Farm, China Horse Club International and SF Racing, who were also represented over the weekend by the exciting up-and-coming prospect Justify.
We’ll see whether Quip can keep improving with a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating in the final prep race.
Flameaway was interfered with at the start and got on track late to record a fast-closing second. His 97 BRIS Speed figure dropped four points from an upset win in the February 10 Sam F. Davis (G3), but he delivered a solid performance nonetheless given the early trouble.
Third-placer World of Trouble doesn’t appear to be a realistic candidate for the 1 ¼-mile Kentucky Derby distance. Fourth-placer Vino Rosso didn’t perform well with first-time blinkers and may prove better suited for targets after the Kentucky Derby.
The Road to the Kentucky Derby series determines eligibility and a 35-race schedule is divided between the Prep Season and Championship Series.
Top BRIS Speed ratings so far in the Championship Series, which began in mid-February (90 and above):
|
Horse |
|
Race (finish) |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Enticed |
|
Gotham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Fountain of Youth (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Strike Power |
|
Fountain of Youth (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Old Time Revival |
|
Gotham (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
San Felipe (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Bravazo |
|
Risen Star (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Quip |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (1st) |
|
98 |
|
McKinzie |
|
San Felipe (2nd) |
|
98 |
|
Snapper Sinclair |
|
Risen Star (2nd) |
|
98 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Fountain of Youth (3rd) |
|
98 |
|
World of Trouble |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (2nd) |
|
97 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Gotham (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Noble Indy |
|
Risen Star (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
World of Trouble |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (3rd) |
|
96 |
|
Machismo |
|
Fountain of Youth (4th) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Risen Star (4th) |
|
95 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Gotham (4th) |
|
93 |
|
Kanthaka |
|
San Felipe (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Tampa Bay Derby (4th) |
|
91 |
|
Peace |
|
San Felipe (4th) |
|
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top BRIS Speed ratings from the Prep Season, which began last September and concluded in mid-February:
|
Horse |
|
Race (finish) |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
Audible |
|
Holy Bull (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
FrontRunner (1st) |
|
105 |
|
Good Magic |
|
BC Juvenile (1st) |
|
105 |
|
McKinzie |
|
Sham (1st) |
|
104 |
|
Flameaway |
|
Sam F. Davis (1st) |
|
101 |
|
Catholic Boy |
|
Sam F. Davis (2nd) |
|
101 |
|
Solomini |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (3rd) |
|
101 |
|
McKinzie |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (1st) |
|
100 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Los Alamitos Futurity (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Solomini |
|
BC Juvenile (2nd) |
|
100 |
|
Vino Rosso |
|
Sam F. Davis (3rd) |
|
100 |
|
All Out Blitz |
|
Sham (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Holy Bull (2nd) |
|
99 |
|
Bolt d’Oro |
|
BC Juvenile (3rd) |
|
99 |
|
Catholic Boy |
|
Remsen (1st) |
|
98 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Southwest (1st) |
|
98 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Champagne (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Instilled Regard |
|
Lecomte (1st) |
|
96 |
|
Good Magic |
|
Champagne (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Solomini |
|
FrontRunner (2nd) |
|
96 |
|
Avery Island |
|
Withers (1st) |
|
94 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Jerome (1st) |
|
94 |
|
Seven Trumpets |
|
Jerome (2nd) |
|
94 |
|
My Boy Jack |
|
Sham (3rd) |
|
94 |
|
Shivermetimbers |
|
Sham (4th) |
|
94 |
|
Enticed |
|
Ky Jockey Club (1st) |
|
93 |
|
Greyvitos |
|
Springboard Mile (1st) |
|
93 |
|
Avery Island |
|
Remsen (2nd) |
|
93 |
|
Tiz Mischief |
|
Ky Jockey Club (2nd) |
|
93 |
|
The Tabulator |
|
Iroquois (1st) |
|
92 |
|
Combatant |
|
Southwest (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Firenze Fire |
|
Withers (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Principe Guilherme |
|
Lecomte (2nd) |
|
92 |
|
Enticed |
|
Champagne (3rd) |
|
92 |
|
Snapper Sinclair |
|
Lecomte (3rd) |
|
92 |
|
Free Drop Billy |
|
Breeders’ Futurity (1st) |
|
91 |
|
Combatant |
|
Springboard Mile (2nd) |
|
91 |
|
Hollywood Star |
|
Iroquois (2nd) |
|
91 |
|
Marconi |
|
Withers (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Vouch |
|
Remsen (3rd) |
|
91 |
|
Promises Fulfilled |
|
Ky Jockey Club (3rd) |
|
90 |
|
Enticed |
|
Holy Bull (4th) |
|
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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