Player Quick Picks: Aqueduct 11/29/2014

November 28th, 2014

Although Saturday’s Cigar Mile is the feature and figures to be the race that most horseplayers look to bet since it has attracted an extremely competitive field, Race 4, the Grade 3 Comely Stakes might provide the best overlay.

Aqueduct Racetrack 4 | 1:24 pm ET

Grade 3 Comely for 3-year-old F going 1-1/8 mi.

6 – Catch My Drift – 5/1 – This Chad Brown trainee failed miserably in the Grade 1 Alabama. Brown did the right thing after the Alabama debacle by putting Catch My Drift into a $25K optional claimer. She bumped at the start, had to steady at one point during the race, even ducked in at another point and still won. It appeared to give her confidence since she finished only a half-length behind Dame Dorothy, the likely chalk in this event, in the Grade 3 Turn Back Alarm Handicap in her last. Catch My Drift should get a nice stalking trip in this. Her pattern suggests that she takes a move forward and since there appears to be a lot of other accomplished fillies in this race, she should hold her 5 to 1 morning line odds if not drift up a bit. Catch My Drift might be the best overlay on the entire Aqueduct Saturday card.

5-Princess Violet – 4/1 – This one was probably over her head a bit in the Grade 1 Mother Goose, where Untapable beat her by 9.25 lengths, and the Grade 2 Prioress, where Stonetastic beat her by 10 lengths. Trainer Michael Hushion, who is winning races at 25% at the current Aqueduct meet, like Brown with Catch My Drift took a step back with her in order to build some confidence. Princess Violet won a $77K non-winner of 1 allowance by 4 lengths before exploding in the Empress Distaff for a 5.5 length victory over Flipcup. She goes into this after winning her last two races by a combined 9.5 lengths. Her stalking style should put her into the race, but one thing to think about is how the jockey switch from J.L. Ortiz to Manuel Franco may affect her.

1-Penwith/1A-Snowbell/1X-Divided Attention – 4/1 – If none scratch, horseplayers are probably looking at the favored entry for the Grade 3 Comely on Saturday. All three have a shot at the win money. Penwith gets the services of jockey Joel Rosario and has been training well for this. She could go gate-to wire if nobody tackles her early. Snowbell goes into this off of a victory in a $75K optional claiming race by 8.5 lengths and should improve. Divine Attention lost by 18 lengths in the Grade 2 Raven Run at Keeneland, but her sire is A.P. Indy and her broodmare is Contrived, a Storm Cat mare. Divine Attention could end up being the most talented out of this bunch. The entry will be formidable, but the odds should be as short, if not shorter, than what they will be on morning line chalk Dame Dorothy.

 

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