Two singles for an all-stakes Pick 3 Saturday at Keeneland
Rushing Fall earns favoritism for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies by winning the Jessamine Stakes. Photo: Keeneland/Coady Photography
You have to give the Keeneland racing office some credit—it knows how to put together a big day of high-class racing.
On Saturday, October 5, Keeneland will have five straight graded stakes races, which means fans of multi-race wagers will have the chance to play four doubles, three Pick 3s and even a Pick 4 featuring nothing but top-notch stakes races.The most appealing sequence is the first all-stakes Pick 3, which kicks off in the sixth race. I’m looking to play singles in two of the legs, so the possibility exists to nab a nice payoff with an inexpensive ticket.
Here’s how I view each leg of the sequence.
Race 6: Woodford Stakes (G2)
As I noted in my spot plays for opening week at Keeneland, #3 Imprimis had a tough trip when he finished fourth in the Runhappy Turf Sprint (G3) at Kentucky Downs last month. Shuffled back early on, Imprimis never got a clear run down the homestretch and might have finished considerably closer if he had a chance to lengthen his stride down the lane.During the spring Imprimis was a gutsy winner of the 5 1/2-furlong Shakertown Stakes (G2) at Keeneland, so a return to this course and distance could be a recipe for victory. Imprimis is 7-for-11 in his career, and with four triple-digit Brisnet speed figures under his belt, he is also the fastest horse in the Woodford field on his best day. Give Imprimis a clean trip in his second start back from Royal Ascot, and he should cruise home on top. He’ll be a single in my Pick 3.
Race 7: Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes (G2)
There are plenty of directions to go in this speed-laden dash, especially when you consider the distance is six furlongs rather than seven, arguably shorter than ideal for key contenders such as #4 Spiced Perfection (who was victorious in the grade 1 Madison Stakes going seven furlongs at Keeneland) and #6 Mia Mischief (winner of the seven-furlong grade 1 Humana Distaff at Churchill Downs).My slight preference is #8 Chalon, a consistent 5-year-old who has cracked the exacta in 14 of her 17 starts. She was beaten just a head in this race last year and returned to finish second by the same margin in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), so we know she has class. She also demonstrated her strong form when she overcame a tough trip to claim the six-furlong Roamin Rachel Stakes on September 2 at Parx.
But I won’t single Chalon in this competitive race. I’ll back her up with Spiced Perfection, Mia Mischief and also #7 Talk Veuve to Me, the recent runner-up in the Presque Isle Downs Masters Stakes (G2).
Race 8: First Lady Stakes (G1)
There are 14 fillies and mares entered in this one-mile grass race, and many of them are graded stakes winners, but I’m confident #11 Rushing Fall is a worthy single. Conditioned by top turf trainer Chad Brown, Rushing Fall boasts a near-perfect 10-8-2-0 record, which includes a victory in the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1). A four-time grade 1 winner, Rushing Fall is also 4-for-4 over the Keeneland turf course, where she defeated future Fourstardave Handicap (G1) winner Got Stormy in the April 13 Jenny Wiley Stakes (G1).Rushing Fall is undefeated in four starts traveling a mile, and her lone defeat this season came against her champion stablemate Sistercharlie in the Diana Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, where Rushing Fall ran a quality race to finish second. Rushing Fall has the tactical speed to work out a perfect trip, setting or stalking the First Lady pace, and I don’t envision her losing Saturday.
$5 Pick 3 (Race 6): 3 with 4,6,7,8 with 11 ($20)
Good luck!
ADVERTISEMENT