Eleven sophomores will contest Saturday’s $1 million Wood Memorial (G2) at Aqueduct, one of seven major final prep races for the May 4
Kentucky Derby.
Before we analyze the BRIS Speed ratings for this year’s Wood Memorial field, let’s take review the numbers for the previous 10 winners.
Here are the BRIS Speed ratings for Wood Memorial winners entering the race:
Horse |
|
BRIS Speed |
Vino Rosso |
|
91 |
|
|
100 |
|
|
|
Irish War Cry |
|
76 |
|
|
102 |
|
|
|
Outwork |
|
96 |
|
|
89 |
|
|
|
Frosted |
|
89 |
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
Wicked Strong |
|
89 |
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
Verrazano |
|
100 |
|
|
104 |
|
|
|
Gemologist |
|
97 |
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
Toby’s Corner |
|
90 |
|
|
103 |
|
|
|
Eskendereya |
|
103 |
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
I Want Revenge |
|
113 |
|
|
95 |
|
|
|
Analysis:
Five brought
declining BRIS Speed ratings into the race.
Irish War Cry (26), Toby’s Corner (13), Frosted (9) and Vino Rosso (9) showed
at least a nine-point decrease in the last start.
Four of the last five
didn’t post a triple-digit BRIS Speed rating in the previous two starts.
Three of the last five – Irish War Cry (76), Frosted (89) and Wicked Strong (89) –
didn’t reach 90 in the last start.
Nine
registered at least an 89 BRIS Speed rating last out (Irish War Cry lone exception).
Only Verrazano (100-104) recorded a pair of triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings.
Here are the last two BRIS Speed ratings for this year’s field (listed in post order):
Horse |
|
BRIS Speed |
Tax |
|
102 |
|
|
103 |
|
|
|
Tacitus |
|
95 |
|
|
85 |
|
|
|
Hoffa’s Union |
|
97 |
|
|
n/a |
|
|
|
Haikal |
|
102 |
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
Final Jeopardy |
|
95 |
|
|
89 |
|
|
|
Overdeliver |
|
91 |
|
|
93 |
|
|
|
Not That Brady |
|
9 |
|
|
101 |
|
|
|
Grumps Little Tots |
|
91 |
|
|
88 |
|
|
|
Math Wizard |
|
89 |
|
|
96 |
|
|
|
Outshine |
|
93 |
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
Joevia |
|
91 |
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
Analysis:
Tax stands alone with 102-103 BRIS Speed ratings in the last two starts. Haikal (102) and Not That Brady (101) are the
only other horses to reach the triple-digit threshold.
Hoffa’s Union faces a steep challenge with only one start but did net a 97 BRIS Speed rating that ranks as the third-best last-out number.
Not That’s Brady was essentially eased last out (9 BRIS Speed rating), crossing the wire 74 lengths behind the winner. His
101 Speed figure two back stacks up well against in this year’s field.
It’s a
well-matched field from a BRIS Speed rating perspective, with only Grumps Little Tots (91-88) and Overdeliver (91-93) on the slow side from the last two preps.
PHOTO: Tax and jockey Junior Alvarado win the Withers Stakes (G3) at Aqueduct on February 2, 2019 (c) Adam Coglianese Photography/Joe Labozzetta