Presque Isle Downs Selections and Analysis for Tuesday, July 9, 2024
Dick Powell outlines his selections for Tuesday’s card at Presque Isle Downs.
Race One:
1st: (5) DRUNKLE – first-time starter by Maximus Mischief (16% debut winners) out of a winning dam by Rock Hard Ten (11% debut winners) that has produced two winners from three foals to race.
2nd: (4) TAP THAT MAGIC – not everyday you see a first-time starter by Good Magic (16% debut winners) that cost $155,000 at auction making it’s debut here. Her dam by Tapit (14% debut winners) has produced two winners from three foals to race.
3rd: (2) DANCING ON AIR – showed good speed in his two starts here this season.
Race Two:
1st: (1) SHOWDOWN KING –was claimed for $50,000 back in February and has run three poor races in a row. Linda Rice drops him way down in class – 33% with this move and goes with sprint specialist Walber Alencar in the saddle.
2nd: (5) ON AN ISLAND – has improved in each of his three starts this year for Scooter Davis who wins 25% with his synthetic-track starters and 25% when he rides Willie Martinez.
3rd: (6) VERY DEBONAIRE – was a good second here two starts back then was only beaten a length last out.
Race Three:
1st: (2) FIELDER – horse for the course sports a solid record against this claiming level, and at the age of 10, Leland Hayes runs him back not worrying about losing him. Hayes wins 15% first start after a win and the last 27 of them show a flat-bet profit.
2nd: (1) WHERE YOU WAS – returns off a 260-day layoff for Randy Russell who wins 10% off long breaks. At the age of 9, he might run his best race like he did last season when he was third against much better in a similar spot.
3rd: (3) WARRIOR’S CAUSE – drops way down in class off some weak efforts on dirt at Penn National.
Race Four:
1st: (2) GOTHAM GRAY – just missed two starts back in her Presque Isle Downs debut then moved up off the claim going a mile and did little. Daughter of Frosted drops down in class and distance for Cally Herrington. This merits a slight edge on class.
2nd: (1) SHACKLED BY LUST – after two dull efforts against bottom claimers at Charlestown then shipped here and held on for fourth from post eight. She draws the rail and gets Rosario Montanez.
3rd: (4) SUSANOO – ran well going two turns against better competition here then did nothing when moved up in class.
Congratulations to everyone that picked #TeamAshley in Week 3 of the Fantasy Handicapping Contest!
— TwinSpires Racing 🏇 (@TwinSpires) July 8, 2024
She finished with $47.10 in winnings for a +161.67% ROI!
The 3 $50 free bet winners for this week are:@RayStu55 - Twitter
Barbara Ruscio - Facebook
Greg O'Driscoll - Facebook pic.twitter.com/YBRFWUBVsh
Race Five:
1st: (5) WOK DON’T RUN – shipped here from Arizona in her first start off the claim by Marcus Vitali. The daughter of Runhappy was a good second that day then was an even third last out. Vitali wins12% with his synthetic-track starters.
2nd: (1) CLOUD IN THE WIND – has yet to win here in seven tries but has yet to run poorly. She weakened late against this level last out for Tim Girten who wins 37% first start after being beaten as the favorite.
3rd: (4) GOOD TO BE TRUGE – went gate to wire to win her well-bet career debut here then ran evenly against these.
Race Six:
1st: (2) ELECTOSTATIC – held well to be third two starts back here going a two-turn mile in fast time then was third when moved up to allowance ranks. He drops back down in class for Scooter Davis who wins 27% going long.
2nd: (5) REAPPLY – was an even fourth two starts back against better then came back and raced evenly going two turns. He drops down in class for Tim Girten who wins 19% with this move and 19% with his synthetic-track starters.
3rd: (4) SHIMMERING LEROID – woke up some last out when stretched out to two turns with a good third.
Race Seven:
1st: (4) FRED GEORGE – just missed in his Tapeta debut here doing two turns then broke his maiden gate to wire. He was a good second last out against this allowance level for Kevin Rice who wins 14% going long with Gallardo in the reigns.
2nd: (6) TAP THE SKY – went gate to wire here two starts back then did it again against solid $25K claimers. He should be tough again if he can make the lead with Israel Rodriguez – 17% with his route mounts.
3rd: (8) STREAMSONG – one-dimensional closer got up in time last out in a wide trip from post 11.
Race Eight:
1st: (5) PARTNER TOURS – raced evenly in two sprint starts to begin the year then was an even fourth at long odds going two turns when moved up in class. John Fennessy wins 18% dropping down in class and 13% with his synthetic-track starters.
2nd: (8) MISCHIEF WARRIOR – broke his maiden last year when he gunned to the front and poured it on. His races since then has been erratic and now drops down in class for Brandon Kulp who wins 30% third start off the layoff.
3rd: (1) CITY LEADER – raced evenly in two route starts here against better so Ron Potts drops in down with blinkers off.
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