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2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Picks and Expert Predictions
What are the TwinSpires horse racing analysts betting?
Racing
How to bet against the Kentucky Derby 150 favorite
Fierceness entered Kentucky Derby week as the morning-line favorite at 5-2 on the strength of his 13 1/2-length victory in the Florida Derby on March 30. Yet I find myself considering putting my betting dollars elsewhere Saturday.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby Horses and Top Contenders
The 150th Kentucky Derby features an overflow field of 22 horses for this classic 1 1/4-mile test.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby Live Coverage: Latest News, Live Updates, Analysis, Contenders, Odds & More for Saturday racing at Churchill Downs | May 4, 2024
TwinSpires presents live blog coverage of the Kentucky Derby 2024.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby: weather forecast, chance of rain for the day of the race
Will it rain during the Kentucky Derby? Partly cloudy, but warm today!
Racing
Where to watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby: date, time, live stream & full TV schedule
Where to watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby: Full Schedule
Kentucky Derby
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Brisnet Late Pace rating report for the 2024 Kentucky Derby
Bettors wondering which horses are most likely to handle 1 1/4 miles in the Kentucky Derby (G1) are advised to analyze Brisnet Late Pace ratings.
Racing
Tipsheet: 2024 Kentucky Derby
A full field of sophomores will travel 1 1/4 miles over the famed Churchill Downs surface in the 150th running of the $5 million Kentucky Derby (G1).
Racing
Betting the 2024 Kentucky Derby on Different Budgets
A full field will go postward in Saturday’s 150th $5 million Kentucky Derby (G1) beneath the Twin Spires. Will conditioners Brad Cox or Bill Mott, who each have one Derby win to their credit despite their horse not crossing the wire in first, add a second victory in the storied race to pad their substantial respective resumes?
Racing
How Mucciolo is betting the 2024 Kentucky Derby
I’m a big fan of this particular cast of sophomores that will go postward for the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1). The field features potential superstars and lightly raced prospects with especially high ceilings.
Racing
Churchill Downs: Betting the Kentucky Derby Day mandatory-payout $75,438 Pick 6 carryover
One of the most enticing bets on Kentucky Derby Day at Churchill Downs is the Derby City 6. The 20-cent Pick 6 has accumulated a $75,438 carryover that will be paid out in mandatory fashion during Saturday’s card.
Racing
Storylines to watch for 2024 Kentucky Derby
The 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) promises to be a vintage renewal, befitting the special historical occasion.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Oaks winner: Thorpedo Anna (4-1) wins the 150th Kentucky Oaks
Over a sloppy track at Churchill Downs, 4-1 second choice Thorpedo Anna led all the way to win the 150th running of the historic $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks (G1).
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby, Oaks Betting Guide: Picks, Odds, Horses
Expert horse racing analysts and handicappers Vance Hanson, James Scully, Kellie Reilly, Ashley Anderson, John Mucciolo and Keeler Johnson have studied the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby cards to present their betting opinions for 2024.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby run styles
Let's examine run styles for the horses in the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1)
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Gold Fever Stakes
A sharp group of eight sophomores will go postward in the $150,000 Gold Fever S. at Aqueduct on Sunday.
Racing
Ghostwriter the pick to topple Troy in 2000 Guineas
Before the Kentucky Derby Day card gets into full swing on Saturday, I'll continue my betting journey through the English flat season with a play in that country's first classic of the year, the 2000 Guineas (G1) at Newmarket.
Racing
Santa Anita: Betting the $13,859 Super High 5 carryover
If you want to win a share of Friday’s $13,859 Super High 5 carryover at Santa Anita, you’ll have to decipher a race filled entirely with first-time starters.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Oaks Live Coverage, Latest News, Live Updates, Analysis, Contenders, Odds & More for Friday racing at Churchill Downs | May 3, 2024
TwinSpires presents live blog coverage of the Kentucky Oaks 2024 during Kentucky Derby week.
Racing
2024 Triple Crown odds: how favorites and field size impact each race
Like most U.S. betting outlets, you won’t find any single bets available on a horse to win the 2024 Triple Crown with TwinSpires. But you can bet on each individual race.
Racing
Saturday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Kentucky Derby undercard
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for the Kentucky Derby (G1) undercard on Saturday, May 4 at Churchill Downs, including an all-stakes Pick 3.
Racing
20 Fun and Memorable Kentucky Derby Quotes & Sayings
What are some of the most iconic Kentucky Derby quotes and Kentucky Derby sayings that have stayed with fans throughout history?
Racing
Dosage Index and birthdates for 2024 Kentucky Derby contenders
Since the Dosage Index became a Kentucky Derby (G1) handicapping tool a few decades back, some interest remains in how the current contenders stack up.
Racing
Why the Kentucky Derby generates big betting payoffs
The Kentucky Derby (G1) at Churchill Downs is considered one of the best betting races of the year. The reason? Big payoffs. And the reason for the big payoffs? Simple mathematics.
Racing
Great Meadow: Virginia Gold Cup and Commonwealth Cup picks
A great day of racing over fences is on the agenda at Great Meadow this Saturday. The historic Virginia Gold Cup is the co-feature alongside the Commonwealth Cup (G1).
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Ruffian Stakes
Grade 1 winner #1 Randomized will make her four-year-old debut in the $200,000 Ruffian S. (G2) at Aqueduct on Saturday.
Racing
The Thurby Live Blog for Thursday racing at Churchill Downs | May 2, 2024
TwinSpires presents live blog coverage of Thurby racing action during Kentucky Derby week.
Racing
Thursday Thoughts with Jason Beem May 2, 2024
Jason gives his final thoughts and picks for the Kentucky Oaks (G1) and Kentucky Derby (G1).
Racing
How Keeler Johnson will bet the 2024 Kentucky Derby
Will #17 Fierceness (5-2) win or lose the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) on Saturday at Churchill Downs? That’s the pivotal question bettors must ponder.
Racing
How to bet with, and against, Zozos in the Churchill Downs Stakes
A really nice field of 11 older males will run seven furlongs on dirt in Saturday’s $1 million Churchill Downs S. (G1) at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Exotics plays for the 2024 American Turf
A wildly competitive cast of three-year-olds will vie in Saturday’s $600,000 American Turf S. (G2) at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast May 2, 2024
Jason gives some final thoughts on the Kentucky Derby weekend, takes some calls from featured guests, and more!
Racing
Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Thurby all-stakes Pick 3
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for the Thursday, May 2 “Thurby” card at Churchill Downs, including an all-stakes Pick 3.
Racing
How Keeler Johnson will play the 2024 Kentucky Oaks
Some years, the Kentucky Oaks (G1) at Churchill Downs features one or two fillies who are clearly better than the rest. That’s not the case in Friday’s ultra-competitive 150th renewal of the Oaks.
Racing
Ova Charged wins the Mardi Gras at Fair Grounds (Photo courtesy of Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots)
Friday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Kentucky Oaks undercard
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for the Kentucky Oaks (G1) undercard on Friday, May 3 at Churchill Downs, including a 20-1 longshot.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Westchester Stakes
The once-beaten #4 Post Time (1-1) will look to move his 2024 mark to 4-for-4 in Friday’s $175,000 Westchester S. (G3) at Aqueduct. Seven horses in total are signed on for the one-mile contest, and there is a good amount of quality among the entries.
Racing
Keying Hard to Justify in the Edgewood Stakes
A full field of 14 sophomore fillies will travel 1 1/16 miles on the turf in the $600,000 Edgewood S. (G2) at Churchill Downs on Friday.
Racing
Betting with, and against, First Mission in the Alysheba Stakes
A well-balanced field of 10 will go postward in the lucrative, $750,000 Alysheba S. (G2) at Churchill Downs on Friday.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Affirmed Success Stakes
A compact group of five New York-bred runners will go six furlongs on the Aqueduct dirt in Thursday’s $100,000 Affirmed Success S.
Racing
Hanson: 2024 Kentucky Derby Day spot plays
You can find my selections for the Kentucky Derby (G1) and several other stakes on Saturday's Churchill Downs card in the TwinSpires Kentucky Derby Betting Guide. For this piece, I'll mention my firmest opinion on that selection grid plus thoughts on a couple other stakes earlier in the afternoon.
Racing
Hanson: 2024 Kentucky Oaks Day spot plays
Kentucky Oaks Day at Churchill Downs figures to be a spectacular appetizer ahead of the bigger Saturday program, though an unfavorable forecast will perhaps put a slight damper on things.
Racing
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for May 4 [Video]
Racing analysts Ashley Anderson, James Scully, Darin Zoccali, and guest Nick Tammaro join forces to handicap Saturday's Kentucky Derby (G1) card at Churchill Downs. Ashley and James provide their thoughts in the written portion below. Be sure to check out Darin and Nick's opinions in our on-camera portion as well!
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast April 30, 2024
Jason is joined by horseplayer and owner Joe Tartaglia to discuss this year's Kentucky Oaks race. They discuss the race, the pace, and all of the contenders in this year's Oaks.
Racing
Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Churchill’s $5,511 Super High 5 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, May 1 at Churchill Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, including horses to play in Churchill’s $5,511 Super High 5 carryover.
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast May 1, 2024
Jason is joined by Jessica Paquette as they talk about this year's Kentucky Derby and all of the contenders in this year's race.
Racing
Jockeys and weight in the Kentucky Derby
Being the most identifiable human participants on average in Thoroughbred racing, jockeys will be a major focus in this week’s 150th edition of the Kentucky Derby.
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Churchill’s $12,158 Super High 5 carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 30 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Churchill Downs, including a horse to key in Churchill’s $12,158 Super High 5 carryover.
Racing
How to bet with, and against, Shoot It True in the Kentucky Juvenile
Dynamic debut winner #7 Shoot It True (7-5) is the morning-line selection for Thursday’s $250,000 Kentucky Juvenile S. at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Betting with, and against, No Nay Mets in the William Walker
An overflow field of 15 turf dashers is entered for the $300,000 William Walker S. at Churchill Downs on Wednesday.
Racing
Tipsheet: 2024 Kentucky Oaks
An overflow field of 16 three-year-old fillies has entered Friday’s $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks (G1) at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Kentucky Derby Exclusive ALL ACCESS Interviews [VIDEO]
Our expert team of racing analysts present exclusive access to the Kentucky Derby at an unprecedented level. Listen to trainers, jockeys, owners and even the horses themselves! Join Andrew Brown, Ashley Anderson, Abbey Huffman and featuring Rosie Napravnik gaining rich insight into all things Kentucky Derby horses.
Kentucky Derby
How has the winning time of the Kentucky Derby changed over time?
Below we explore how the average winning Kentucky Derby time has transformed over history.
Kentucky Derby
Monday Morning Message with Jason Beem April 29, 2024
Jason looks ahead to this week's Derby festivities and looks back at some of his Derby memories.
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast April 29, 2024
Jason looks back at the weekend of racing including action from Churchill Downs and Keeneland. He also discusses the Kentucky Derby and Oaks draws as we kick off Derby week coverage.
Racing
Churchill Downs Pick 3 play for Tuesday, April 30
An interesting early three-race sequence caught my attention at Churchill Downs on Tuesday.
Racing
Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Parx’s mandatory-payout $176,026 Pick 5
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, April 29 at Finger Lakes and Thistledown, along with horses to single in the mandatory-payout $176,026 Pick 5 carryover at Parx Racing.
Racing
Where to watch the 2023 Kentucky Derby: Full schedule
Below we look at the full 2023 Kentucky Derby day schedule, from start time to location, the full field, and where to watch.
Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby race length and distance: how long is the race?
To beat out a field of up to 20 three-year-olds vying for the Kentucky Derby crown and the customary garland of roses, it takes a combination of strength, stamina, and tactical speed to breeze through a 1 1/4-mile race in nearly 120 seconds.
Racing
Gulfstream: How to bet the $7,852 Super High 5 carryover
If you can select the top five finishers in Sunday’s 10th race at Gulfstream Park, you can win a share of a $7,852 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby Brisnet Speed Rating Report
From 2012-2021, nine of 10 Kentucky Derby (G1) winners registered triple-digit Brisnet Speed ratings prior to the 1 1/4-mile race
Racing
Post positions and morning line odds for 2024 Kentucky Oaks
Here is the draw with morning-line odds for Friday's Kentucky Oaks (G1).
Racing
Post positions and morning line odds for 2024 Kentucky Derby
Here's the field for the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) following the draw.
Racing
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Mugatu
After finishing fourth in the John Battaglia Memorial S. and fifth in the Blue Grass (G1) on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, Mugatu enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1) as the second also-eligible entrant in an overflow field of 22 horses.
Racing
Churchill Downs Opening Day: Coverage, Latest News, Live Updates & More (April 27, 2024)
TwinSpires presents live blog coverage of horse racing on opening day of Churchill Downs and the start of Kentucky Derby week.
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Gulfstream: Live longshots in the mandatory-payout $308,801 Rainbow Pick 6 carryover
On Saturday at Gulfstream Park, a $308,801 jackpot carryover in the 20-cent Rainbow Pick 6 is being paid out in mandatory fashion. Gulfstream estimates that the final pool will exceed $3 million, making it a must-play wager.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Sha Tin April 27
Racing at Sha Tin begins late Saturday night/early Sunday morning at 12:45 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 San Francisco Mile
An overflow field of 13 will run one mile on the Golden Gate lawn in Saturday’s $175,000 San Francisco Mile S. (G3).
Racing
Friday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Keeneland’s closing day carryover
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Friday, April 26 at Gulfstream Park, Aqueduct, and Charles Town, along with horses to play in Keeneland’s $27,787 Super High 5 carryover.
Racing
How to bet the 2024 Kona Gold Stakes
A total of seven horses will go postward in Saturday’s $100,000 Kona Gold S. at Santa Anita.
Racing
Exotics Plays for the 2024 Bachelor Stakes
A total of seven sophomores will travel six panels on the Oaklawn Park surface in Saturday’s $200,000 Bachelor S.
Racing
How to bet the Woodhaven Stakes
Grade 1 winner #2 Carson’s Run (9-5) leads a talented field of seven for the $125,000 Woodhaven S. at Aqueduct on Saturday.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby Purse: How much prize money will the winning owner and trainer earn
No great horse race is complete without a great purse to be won, and the Kentucky Derby boasts one of the richest purses in North America.
Racing
2024 Kentucky Derby purse: How much prize money will the winning jockey earn
Have you ever wondered what share of the Kentucky Derby purse the winning jockey receives? Suffice to say, it’s a lucrative payday.
Racing
Betting With, and Against, Dazzling Blue in the Roxelana Stakes
Juddmonte’s stakes winning #6 Dazzling Blue (3-1) is the morning-line choice for the $200,000 Roxelana S. at Churchill Downs on Saturday.
Racing
The Jury: Expert Picks, Bets and Fades for April 27 [Video]
Racing analysts Ashley Anderson, James Scully, and Darin Zoccali reconvene to discuss their bets and fades for Churchill Downs' opening night, Oaklawn Park, and more. Ashley and James give their thoughts in the written portion below. Be sure to check out Darin's opinions in our on-camera portion as well!
Racing
Churchill Downs Fast Facts for April 27, 2024
TwinSpires Fast Facts is a new tool we are working on to enhance and streamline your handicapping!
Racing
The human and the horse
As the 150th Kentucky Derby approaches, we want to honor the beautiful connection that occurs between the horse and the human that cares for them.
Racing
The Official EARLY 2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide
The EARLY 2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide focuses on getting to know the contenders probable to enter the First Saturday In May.
Racing
Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: $286,380 Pick 6 carryover at Keeneland
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Thursday, April 25 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Gulfstream Park, along with horses to play in the $286,380 Pick 6 carryover at Keeneland.
Racing
Thursday Thoughts with Jason Beem Apr. 25, 2024
Jason shares some Thursday Thoughts on Keeneland's meet wrapping up, Churchill's getting underway, and more!
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast Apr. 25, 2024
Jason looks ahead to some of the weekend racing at Keeneland and Churchill Downs. He also talks about handicapping and betting with conviction versus just hoping.
Racing
Endlessly – Kentucky Derby Context
Endlessly will bring a late kick to the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1) on May 4, rallying smartly past rivals to earn his spot with a four-length decision in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3) in late March
Racing
T O Password – Kentucky Derby Context
Unbeaten from two starts, T O Password will try to carry his speed all the way in the 150th Kentucky Derby (G1)
Racing
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Epic Ride
Which racing surface is best for Epic Ride? And can he handle the Kentucky Derby’s testing 1 1/4-mile distance? His pedigree hints at the answers.
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast Apr. 24, 2024
Jason welcomes in trainer Chad Brown to talk about his contenders for the Kentucky Derby (G1) including Sierra Leone, Domestic Product and so much more!
Racing
Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Keeneland’s $56,441 Pick 6
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, April 24 at Thistledown and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with a horse to single in the $56,441 Pick 6 carryover at Keeneland.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Thursday, April 25, 2024
It’s the second to last day of the Keeneland Spring Meet, and we’ve got a nine-race card on tap for Thursday.
Racing
Racing Roundtable: Kentucky Derby 150 and Oaks preview
The Racing Roundtable convenes to preview the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1) and the Kentucky Oaks (G1), including top picks and handicapping tips.
Racing
Commander Compton shows how strong a horse’s surface preferences can be
Commander Compton is vivid proof that some horses hold clear-cut surface preferences, and a reminder that poor form over a disliked surface can be disregarded when analyzing a horse’s past performances.
Racing
Hong Kong: Selections for Happy Valley April 24
Racing at Happy Valley begins at 6:40 a.m. ET. Selections and analysis by Declan Schuster of the Hong Kong Jockey Club.
Racing
Keeneland expert picks: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
We kick off the final week of the Keeneland Spring Meet with an eight-race card on Wednesday.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Kentucky Oaks
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Meet the Contenders: 2024 Kentucky Derby
Meet the horses running in the 2024 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.
Racing
Resilience – Kentucky Derby Context
Resilience likes to race up close with his tactical speed and appears to be discovering his best form at the right time
Racing
Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Five-figure Pick 5 carryovers
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, April 23 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, including horses to play in a pair of five-figure Pick 5 carryovers.
Racing
Jason Beem Horse Racing Podcast Apr. 23, 2024
Jason welcomes in Twinspires' own James Scully to talk about the upcoming Kentucky Oaks (G1) and Kentucky Derby (G1) races.
Racing
Fierceness – Kentucky Derby Context
Based on nearly every metric, Fierceness is the fastest horse entering the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1)
Racing
POPULAR ARTICLES
How to bet against the Kentucky Derby 150 favorite
2024 Kentucky Derby Horses and Top Contenders
2024 Kentucky Derby Live Coverage: Latest News, Live Updates, Analysis, Contenders, Odds & More for Saturday racing at Churchill Downs | May 4, 2024
2024 Kentucky Derby: weather forecast, chance of rain for the day of the race
Where to watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby: date, time, live stream & full TV schedule
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