2018 Preakness BRIS Speed Rating Report
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May 16th, 2018
Justify remained perfect winning Kentucky Derby and has registered triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings in all four career starts. The Bob Baffert-trained colt will face seven challengers when he lines up for Saturday’s second leg of the American Triple Crown, the 143rd running of the $1.5 million Preakness Stakes at Pimlico.
Here are the last three BRIS Speed ratings for the 2018 Preakness field:
|
HORSE |
|
RACE |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
BRAVAZO |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
93 |
|
|
|
Louisiana Derby |
|
76 |
|
|
|
Risen Star |
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DIAMOND KING |
|
Federico Tesio |
|
95 |
|
|
|
Swale |
|
93 |
|
|
|
Heft |
|
91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GOOD MAGIC |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
99 |
|
|
|
Blue Grass |
|
98 |
|
|
|
Fountain of Youth |
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
JUSTIFY |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
102 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
114 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LONE SAILOR |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
92 |
|
|
|
Louisiana Derby |
|
100 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
83 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
QUIP |
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
95 |
|
|
|
Tampa Bay Derby |
|
98 |
|
|
|
Kentucky Jockey Club |
|
84 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SPORTING CHANCE |
|
Pat Day Mile |
|
79 |
|
|
|
Blue Grass |
|
95 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TENFOLD |
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
94 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
93 |
|
|
|
Maiden |
|
92 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysis
Justify looms as a towering presence. After generating a whopping 114 in the Santa Anita Derby, his Speed rating tumbled 12 points in the Kentucky Derby (102 Speed) but it’s still faster than any number generated by rivals in the last three starts.
Expected wet conditions won’t be an issue for Justify. He captured the Kentucky Derby in the slop and registered a 104 BRIS Speed rating winning an allowance on a muddy track at Santa Anita.
Lone Sailor is the only other runner with a triple-digit figure from the last three outings, receiving a 100 for a close second in the Louisiana Derby. The Tom Amoss-trained late runner brought improving form into the Kentucky Derby but was repeatedly stopped and forced to regain his momentum recording a severely-troubled eighth. Irad Ortiz Jr. will pick up the mount for the Preakness.
Good Magic has not run back to the 105 he earned posting an upset win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Del Mar. The Kentucky Derby runner-up will be the clear second choice in the wagering, but Good Magic’s Speed ratings are far from overwhelming.
BRIS Speed ratings for last 20 Preakness winners (* denotes Kentucky Derby winner):
|
HORSE |
|
RACE |
|
BRIS Speed |
|
CLOUD COMPUTING |
|
Wood Memorial |
|
94 |
|
|
|
Gotham |
|
100 |
|
|
|
Maiden |
|
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*EXAGGERATOR |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
103 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
102 |
|
|
|
San Felipe |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*CALIFORNIA CHROME |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
103 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
106 |
|
|
|
San Felipe |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*AMERICAN PHAROAH |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
100 |
|
|
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
102 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OXBOW |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
98 |
|
|
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
90 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*I’LL HAVE ANOTHER |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
108 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
98 |
|
|
|
Robert B. Lewis |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SHACKLEFORD |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
101 |
|
|
|
Florida Derby |
|
101 |
|
|
|
Fountain of Youth |
|
77 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LOOKIN AT LUCKY |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
97 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
92 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RACHEL ALEXANDRA |
|
Kentucky Oaks |
|
111 |
|
|
|
Fantasy |
|
104 |
|
|
|
Fair Grounds Oaks |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*BIG BROWN |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
111 |
|
|
|
Florida Derby |
|
110 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CURLIN |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
99 |
|
|
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
102 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BERNARDINI |
|
Withers |
|
110 |
|
|
|
Maiden |
|
97 |
|
|
|
Maiden |
|
87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AFLEET ALEX |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
99 |
|
|
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
107 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*SMARTY JONES |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
106 |
|
|
|
Arkansas Derby |
|
105 |
|
|
|
Rebel |
|
109 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*FUNNY CIDE |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
108 |
|
|
|
Wood Memorial |
|
111 |
|
|
|
Louisiana Derby |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*WAR EMBLEM |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
113 |
|
|
|
Illinois Derby |
|
109 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
105 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
POINT GIVEN |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
97 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
109 |
|
|
|
San Felipe |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RED BULLET |
|
Wood Memorial |
|
105 |
|
|
|
Gotham |
|
101 |
|
|
|
Allowance |
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*CHARISMATIC |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
105 |
|
|
|
Lexington |
|
104 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
94 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*REAL QUIET |
|
Kentucky Derby |
|
101 |
|
|
|
Santa Anita Derby |
|
107 |
|
|
|
San Felipe |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysis
Preakness winners have earned at least one triple-digit BRIS Speed rating from the three previous starts. Fifteen of the last 20 show multiple figures of 100 or more.
Justify and Lone Sailor are the only Preakness runners this year to meet the triple-digit threshold.
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