2024 Belmont Stakes odds, betting strategy, cheat sheet

June 8th, 2024

What is the best bet for the 2024 Belmont Stakes?

TwinSpires brings together our expert racing analysts to provide authoritative insight and analysis to form the best bets for the 2024 Belmont Stakes. Use this betting cheat sheet to build your best bet slips.

TwinSpires Preakness Stakes Expert Picks:


Kellie Reilly

#9 Sierra Leone
#8 Honor Marie 
#3 Mystik Dan

Vance Hanson

#9 Sierra Leone
#10 Mindframe
#3 Mystik Dan


Ashley Anderson

#1 Seize the Grey
#9 Sierra Leone
#3 Mystik Dan

James Scully

#8 Honor Marie
#9 Sierra Leone
#10 Mindframe


J. Keeler Johnson

#10 Mindframe
#1 Seize the Grey
#9 Sierra Leone

John Mucciolo

#9 Sierra Leone
#8 Honor Marie
#2 Resilience


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Vance Hanson's longshot prediction

There's a couple new wrinkles to the 2024 Belmont, as well as the one that will be held next year. Both editions will be contested over a reduced distance of 1 1/4 miles at Saratoga, while Belmont Park undergoes a complete refurbishment of its facility.

Handicapping a 1 1/4-mile race on dirt is rather different than handicapping the increasingly rare 1 1/2-mile race on dirt. But from my viewpoint, it really doesn't matter what the distance of this year's Belmont is. Following his effort in the Kentucky Derby (G1) five weeks ago, probable favorite Sierra Leone was going to be, and is, my top selection.

That being said, the topic of this piece is the best longshot to bet in the Belmont. Although I find the race itself potentially formful on paper, especially if the track is wet, there is one longer-priced hope bettors might consider to hit the frame.

#2 Resilience (10-1) has outrun expectations multiple times this season. The first was in the Risen Star (G2) at Fair Grounds, his stakes debut. Sent away at close to 17-1 having just exited the maiden ranks, Resilience was beaten only 3 1/2 lengths by Sierra Leone, with two other stakes veterans also placing ahead of him.

After comfortably winning the Wood Memorial (G2) next out in his first start with blinkers, Resilience was a big price again in the Kentucky Derby. Breaking from post 18 at more than 31-1, Resilience turned in a credible effort.

Read more of the analysis here

Budget betting for the 2024 Belmont Stakes

$30 Budget

  • $10 exacta 9 with 2,8 ($20)
  • 50-cent trifecta 9 with 2,3,5,8 with 2,3,5,7,8,10 ($10)

$60 Budget

  • $6 exacta key box 9 with 2,8 ($24)
  • 50-cent trifecta 2,8,9 with 2,8,9 with all ($24)
  • 10-cent superfecta 9 with 2,3,5,8 with 2,3,5,8 with all ($8.40)
  • 10-cent superfecta 9 with 8 with 2,3,5,7,10 with all ($3.50)

$120 Budget

  • $1 superfecta key 9 with 2,3,5,7,8,10 ($60)
  • $1 superfecta 2,3,5,7,8,10 with 9 with 2,3,5,7,8,10 ($60)