A pair of singles for Belmont Park's $130,293 Pick 6 carryover
Saturday brought an afternoon of pure handicapping chaos to Belmont Park, which means there’s a $130,293 Pick 6 carryover on tap for Sunday’s nine-race card.
Only one logical winner prevailed during Saturday’s Pick 6 sequence; namely, Rockemperor claimed the third leg as the 4-5 favorite. The other five winners all started at 10-1 or higher, capped off by a 57-1 longshot in the finale. A single Pick 6 ticket containing five of six winners returned a hefty consolation payoff of $43,430.50.
16-1... 10-1... 18-1... 13-1... 57-1... talk about a day for upsets at Belmont Park! Five of the last six winners on Saturday started at double-digit odds, so it's no surprise to see a $130,293 Pick 6 carryover on the table for Sunday.
— J. Keeler Johnson (@J_Keelerman) June 27, 2021
Results should be slightly more predictable in Sunday’s Pick 6, which kicks off in Race 4 at 2:31 p.m. (ET). Or at least, we hope the results will be more predictable. Not counting also-eligibles and main-track only entrants, only 46 horses have been entered, averaging just 7.67 per race. Sounds easy enough to handicap, right?
Since Belmont’s Pick 6 is a relatively expensive $1 wager, identifying a single (or two) is a good way to keep costs down. With this in mind, we’ve gone through the entries and identified a pair of deserving favorites who seem likely to win at short prices:
Race 6: #4 Bar Fourteen (8-5)
The third leg of the Pick 6 sequence is a maiden special weight for New York-breds sprinting seven furlongs over the Widener turf course. The race features a possible standout in the form of Bar Fourteen. In three starts running long on turf, Bar Fourteen has flashed frontrunning speed every time. He just hasn’t been able to maintain his pace down the lane, finishing fourth, second, and fifth.
Cutting back to seven furlongs should suit Bar Fourteen just fine. He finished second in his first two starts sprinting six furlongs on dirt, so we know he’s capable of competing over abbreviated distances. For good measure, three-time champion jockey Irad Ortiz takes over the mount, stamping Bar Fourteen as the horse to beat.
Race 8: #4 Breakpoint (8-5)
Graded stakes winners #1 Olympico (2-1) and #3 Cross Border (5-2) are talented and logical contenders in this 1 1/8-mile grass allowance, but they’re also infrequent winners riding lengthy losing streaks. That’s why morning-line favorite Breakpoint is an appealing alternative in his first start for four-time champion trainer Chad Brown.
Breakpoint hasn’t tasted defeat from five starts in his native Chile. Indeed, he’s a three-time Group 1 winner on turf, scoring his signature wins over distances from 1 1/16 miles to 1 1/2 miles. Brown has done fine work with past Chilean-bred imports, nabbing Grade 1 wins with Robert Bruce, Wow Cat, and Dacita, so I’m inclined to think Breakpoint can fire a winning shot in his U.S. debut.
Good luck!
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