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How trainer stats can point toward future stakes winners
When a horse defies the stats and wins at first asking for a low-percentage debut trainer, you might be looking at a special horse. Maybe even a stakes winner.
Analysis
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Jace's Road
Jace’s Road couldn’t have been much more impressive in the Gun Runner S. on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. But does he have the pedigree to thrive racing 1 1/4 miles in the Kentucky Derby?
Horse
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Banishing, Groveland win for Godolphin
Godolphin has never won the Kentucky Derby (G1), but perhaps that will change in 2023. Maiden winners Banishing and Groveland are shaping up as possible Derby players for the world-renowned stable.
Kentucky Derby
New Zealand: Spot Plays for Christmas Black Type racing
If you’re wanting to play some high-quality racing on Christmas and can’t wait for North American racing to resume the day after, the place to look toward is New Zealand.
International
Japan: Titleholder can secure title in world's biggest betting race
Titleholder can secure Japan’s Horse of the Year award by taking out its equal-richest race this weekend.
International
Top Winning Brisnet Speed Ratings for 2022
Brisnet Speed Ratings show there were two outstanding performances in 2022: one by Flightline, and one by… Wudda U Think Now?
Belmont Stakes
Catching My Eye: Two angles to find prices at Fair Grounds, Part Two
The second angle I am finding will likely be with us for the meet: trusting the less well-known jockeys.
Analysis
What is a jockey weight allowance?
In the sport of horse racing, the amount of weight carried by each horse has long been varied to account for differences in age, gender, and ability. Or, in some cases, the experience of their jockey.
Analysis
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Tapit Trice shows grit for Pletcher
Two-time Kentucky Derby (G1)-winning trainer Todd Pletcher recently picked up another possible Derby player when Tapit Trice broke his maiden at Aqueduct.
Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Wildatlanticstorm
Does Wildatlanticstorm have the pedigree to factor in the Kentucky Derby?
Horse
Oaklawn Park: How scrutinizing race conditions can be beneficial
The first thing bettors should generally do before handicapping a race is read and comprehend its conditions.
Analysis
Why horses tackling multiple major changes can outrun their odds
Sometimes, a racehorse will tackle so many changes at once it’s impossible to project how they'll perform. But the “change everything” approach can occasionally reap big dividends.
Analysis
Catching My Eye: Two Angles to find prices at Fair Grounds, Part One
Four weeks in at Fair Grounds, racing analyst Kevin Kilroy has found two handicapping angles that have been key for finding price horses.
Analysis
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Phileas Fogg, Z Resurrection impress at Fair Grounds
What do Country House, Mandaloun, and Rich Strike have in common? They’ve all won the Kentucky Derby (G1) since 2019, and they all did so after competing at Fair Grounds during the winter.
Kentucky Derby
Five early trends at Fair Grounds for Winter 2022
Winter racing at Fair Grounds has been going since Thanksgiving, but there have already been some notable trends.
Analysis
How sire stats and racing records can uncover winners
Sometimes, combining a little pedigree knowledge with the sire stats and performance data found in Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances is all you need to uncover a lucrative betting payday.
Pedigree
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Tapit Shoes wins for Cox
Arguably no trainer is heading into 2023 with a deeper group of Kentucky Derby (G1) contenders than Brad Cox.
Kentucky Derby
Contenders to fill Flightline's void in older horse division
With Flightline headed to stud, the older horse dirt division lacks a standout entering 2023. Let's examine six contenders.
Analysis
Off-the-turf races can present enticing betting opportunities
When races slated to take place on turf are instead transferred to dirt or synthetic, enticing betting opportunities can arise.
Analysis
Fair Grounds meet horseplayer preview: Louisiana circuit insights
Here are some things to know about Fair Grounds and the Louisiana circuit to help sharpen your edge.
Analysis
Instant Coffee winning the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Photography)
Kentucky Derby pedigree profile: Instant Coffee
Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) winner Instant Coffee has always had the pedigree to shine as an early-maturing Road to the Kentucky Derby contender.
Horse
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Is Casse's Determinedly the next War of Will?
Determinedly, Gun Pilot, and Point Proven impressed during the "Stars of Tomorrow II" program at Churchill Downs.
Kentucky Derby
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 25
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Friday at Churchill Downs, Del Mar, and Golden Gate Fields, along with live longshots to play in the $2,850 Pick 6 carryover at Fair Grounds.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 24
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 24 at Churchill Downs and Del Mar, including tickets for Churchill’s $9,415 Super High 5 carryover.
Analysis
Catching My Eye: Fair Grounds' Opening Weekend, Louisiana-breds
If you haven't been following the Louisiana circuit, you might not be familiar with a lot of the names entering into the first few weeks at Fair Grounds.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 23
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, Nov. 23 at Churchill Downs and Parx Racing, along with horses to play in mandatory-payout carryovers at Parx and Finger Lakes.
Analysis
Brisnet Speed ratings can make small fields playable
The power of speed figures—and specifically the Brisnet Speed ratings published in Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances—came to the forefront in the 2022 Bob Hope (G3) at Del Mar.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 22
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for a trio of stakes on Tuesday, Nov. 22 at Zia Park, including tickets for the $1,389 carryover in the all-stakes Pick 5.
Analysis
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Litigate, Classic Catch prevail for Pletcher
The two Kentucky Derby (G1) winners conditioned by Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher employed vastly different routes to reach the Derby. Litigate will try to split the difference.
Kentucky Derby
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 21
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 21 at Mahoning Valley and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with horses to single in the $21,009 Pick 5 carryover at Laurel Park.
Analysis
A single for Aqueduct's $58,827 Pick 6 carryover
There’s a $58,827 carryover awaiting bettors who can find the winning combination among 1,204,632 possibilities in Sunday’s $1 Pick 6 sequence at Aqueduct.
Analysis
Golden Gate Fields: How to bet the $5,670 Super High 5 carryover
$5,670. That’s not an insignificant amount by any means, and it just happens to be the size of the Super High 5 carryover up for grabs on Saturday at Golden Gate Fields.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 18
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Friday, Nov. 18 at Churchill Downs and Fair Grounds, along with a horse to single in non-jackpot Pick 5 and Pick 6 carryovers at Aqueduct.
Analysis
Fair Grounds racing trends
To get you prepared for the 2022-23 meet in Louisiana, we explore some of the top racing trends at Fair Grounds.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 17
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 17 at Churchill Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, including a cold double wager.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 16
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday at Mahoning Valley, Horseshoe Indianapolis, and Churchill Downs, along with tickets for Mountaineer’s $1,068 Super High 5 carryover.
Analysis
Looking for lone speed horses with Brisnet Pace ratings
There’s something exciting about betting late-running horses and cheering for them to catch up down the homestretch, but they’re generally at a disadvantage against rivals with superior early speed.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 15
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mahoning Valley and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with horses to single in the $16,062 Pick 5 carryover at Finger Lakes.
Analysis
Chop Chop among three early stakes winners for freshman sire City of Light
Since our first installment highlighting the first crop by City of Light, the freshman sire has been represented by an additional six winners, three of whom have won stakes.
Breeders Cup
Harness Weekly Update: 67% hit the board, 33% winners
This week, there were 33 H2W horses (a 30-percent win-hit rate and a 67-percent ATB [across-the-board] rate).
Analysis
Kentucky Derby Maiden Watch: Will McGaughey's colt become the Talk of the Nation?
Memories of Shug McGaughey's 2013 Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Orb came to mind when McGaughey unveiled Talk of the Nation at Aqueduct last Friday.
Kentucky Derby
First-Crop Sires 2022: Justify Heads the List
On all reasonable criteria, Justify has made a fantastic start as a sire.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 14
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 14 at Mahoning Valley and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with horses to single in the $13,261 Late Pick 5 carryover at Laurel Park.
Analysis
Carryover watch: Super High 5 prize pools at Churchill Downs, Gulfstream Park
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to play in a pair of Sunday Super High 5 carryovers at Gulfstream Park and Churchill Downs.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 11
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for a trio of stakes at Remington Park on Friday, Nov. 11, along with thoughts on non-jackpot carryovers at Aqueduct and Churchill Downs.
Analysis
Catching My Eye: three things to take away from the 2022 Breeders' Cup
Three takeaways from last weekend: four-year-old equipment change for Todd Pletcher means something. Tyler Gaffalione is just getting started. Uncertainty around Cave Rock and Forte going forward.
Breeders Cup
Kentucky Derby takeaways from the Breeders' Cup Juvenile
What can we take away from the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile as we head toward the Kentucky Derby?
Triple Crown
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 10
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares $90 worth of picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 10 at Aqueduct, Churchill Downs, and Horseshoe Indianapolis, including a trio of exactas.
Analysis
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 9
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Wednesday, Nov. 9 at Churchill Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, along with tickets for Churchill’s $10,533 Super High 5 carryover.
Analysis
Hanson: A case for Flightline's early retirement
While some racing fans are disappointed Flightline won't reappear on the racetrack, the "he has nothing more to prove" argument might be a sound one.
Breeders Cup
Flightline: The best since Secretariat?
One of the superlatives given to Flightline has almost been sacrilege: a genuine comparison to Secretariat.
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 8
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Tuesday, Nov. 8 at Mahoning Valley, Horseshoe Indianapolis, and Zia Park, including a trifecta focusing on the Trifecta Tuesday promotion.
Analysis
Flightline's Breeders' Cup Classic on the clock
Flightline’s tour de force in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) was not only visually impressive. The unbeaten superstar delivered a performance of historical proportions on the clock as well.
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 7
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 7 at Mahoning Valley and Turf Paradise, including horses to single in the $2,225 Pick 5 carryover at Zia Park.
Analysis
A single and a longshot for Santa Anita's $376,573 mandatory-payout Pick 6
Sunday is closing day of the Santa Anita fall meet, which means the $376,573 Rainbow Pick 6 carryover is slated for a mandatory payout.
Analysis
Under-the-radar Breeders' Cup Saturday contenders
Nine Breeders’ Cup races are taking on Saturday at Keeneland, the second day of the Nov. 4-5 event. In each contest, I have tabbed a contender who will offer excellent value.
Breeders Cup
Betting with favorites on the Breeders' Cup Saturday undercard
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares $100 worth of strategies for betting favorites in the three non-Breeders’ Cup races on Saturday at Keeneland, including the Fall Harvest S.
Breeders Cup
2022 Breeders' Cup News & Notes
Stay up to date with all the relevant information for the 2022 Breeders' Cup from our leading experts.
Breeders Cup
Tipsheet: 2022 Breeders' Cup Turf
A well-matched field of 13 grassy stayers will run 1 1/2 miles on the Keeneland turf in Saturday’s lucrative $4 million Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1).
Breeders Cup
Tipsheet: 2022 Breeders' Cup Distaff
A fantastic field of eight fillies and mares will face the starter in Saturday’s $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) at Keeneland. The 1 1/8-mile dirt affair attracted seven individual Grade 1 heroines in what promises to be a memorable tussle.
Breeders Cup
Tipsheet: 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic
A spectacular field of eight will head to post in the Saturday finale at Keeneland: the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
Breeders Cup
Breeders' Cup Race Replays & Expert Picks [VIDEO]
View Breeders' Cup thoughts from Joe Kristufek, Scott Shapiro, Ashley Anderson, Kaitlin Free, Julien Leparoux and D. Wayne Lukas!
Breeders Cup
The Jury: Bets and fades for Breeders' Cup weekend
Day 2 of the 2022 Breeders' Cup at Keeneland is the obvious highlight of racing worldwide on this first weekend of November.
Breeders Cup
Tipsheet: 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile
An excellent field of 10 juveniles will travel 1 1/16 miles over the main surface at Keeneland in Friday’s $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1).
Breeders Cup
How to bet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
Horses based in Europe have won nine out of 15 editions of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), suggesting overseas shippers have the best chance for success.
Breeders Cup
Betting against Flightline in the Breeders' Cup Classic
Flightline is an imposing 3-5 morning line favorite against seven rivals in the $6 million Classic (G1), but let's answer the following question: “Who to bet if trying to beat Flightline?”
Breeders Cup
Breeders' Cup undercard spot plays for Friday and Saturday
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares spot plays for the Breeders’ Cup undercard races on Friday and Saturday at Keeneland, including a 15-1 longshot in the Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (G2).
Breeders Cup
How to bet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
It’s tempting to support one of the talented European raiders entered in Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) at Keeneland. But history suggests the home team will be formidable.
Breeders Cup
How to bet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
The best two-year-old dirt fillies in North America will square off over 1 1/16 miles in Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) at Keeneland, but the favorites aren’t necessarily unbeatable.
Breeders Cup
How to bet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Based on the first four editions of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1), it isn’t hard to draw conclusions about the types of horses who excel (or not) in the super-quick grass dash.
Breeders Cup
Under-the-radar Breeders' Cup Friday contenders
A total of five Breeders’ Cup races will take place at Keeneland on the “Future Stars Friday” card. In each contest, I have tabbed a contender who will offer excellent value.
Breeders Cup
Meet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Mile contenders
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson takes a horse-by-horse look at pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) at Keeneland, exploring the pros and cons of each contender.
Breeders Cup
Best exotic wagers for Breeders' Cup Friday 2022
It’s often easier to pick winners than sort out minor placings, so we’ll favor multi-race wagers when betting Breeders’ Cup Friday.
Breeders Cup
Meet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Distaff contenders
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson takes a horse-by-horse look at pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) at Keeneland, exploring the pros and cons of each contender.
Breeders Cup
Meet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic contenders
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson takes a horse-by-horse look at pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) at Keeneland, exploring the pros and cons of each contender.
Breeders Cup
Nest comes rolling into the Breeders' Cup Distaff
Following a second against males in June’s Belmont S. (G1), Nest stepped up with a series of stunning performances, winning the Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), Alabama (G1), and Beldame (G2) by a combined 26 1/4 lengths.
Breeders Cup
Under-the-radar internationals for 2022 Breeders' Cup
Plenty of international star power is on display in the 2022 Breeders’ Cup. Indeed, there are so many logical contenders that a few could be overlooked, especially those with a dark-horse vibe at Keeneland.
Breeders Cup
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Nov. 3
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares $75 worth of picks and plays for Thursday, Nov. 3 at Churchill Downs and Horseshoe Indianapolis, including a trio of cold exactas.
Analysis
A clue in Aidan O’Brien’s Breeders’ Cup record
It’s fitting that Aidan O’Brien’s first Breeders’ Cup runner was Second Empire.
Breeders Cup
2022 Breeders' Cup International Scouting Report: Silver Knott
It’s fascinating that Godolphin trainer Charlie Appleby sends Silver Knott here, not Mysterious Night, who earned a free pass to the Juvenile Turf in his Summer romp.
Breeders Cup
2022 Breeders' Cup International Scouting Report: Chain of Love
After Japan’s Marche Lorraine capitalized on a pace meltdown to shock last year’s Distaff, compatriot Chain of Love will try to pull off a similar feat in the Filly & Mare Sprint.
Breeders Cup
Finding vulnerable favorites in the 2022 Breeders' Cup
A primary key to handicapping the Breeders' Cup successfully, or any race card for that matter, is finding and eliminating vulnerable favorites.
Breeders Cup
2022 Breeders' Cup post draw analysis and implications
Post positions for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup were drawn on Monday, establishing final fields for the 14 season-defining races.
Breeders Cup
Melbourne Cup Tipsheet
The way you want to play the Melbourne Cup will depend largely on how much you like Deauville Legend.
International
Magnificent Seven: Multi-generation winners of the same Breeders' Cup race
One of the more intriguing situations in racing occurs when a horse replicates family success by winning the same stakes that their sire or dam did during their racing days.
Pedigree
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Oct. 31
Handicapper Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Oct. 31 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Mahoning Valley, including a horse to single in the $856 Pick 5 carryover at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
Analysis
How to bet Santa Anita's $30,835 Super High 5 carryover
No one managed to hit the $1 Super High 5 in either of the final two races on Saturday at Santa Anita, which means Sunday’s card features an enticing $30,835 non-jackpot Super High 5 carryover.
Analysis
Carryover watch: Aqueduct's $50,013 Pick 6, Keeneland's $8,599 Super High 5
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to play in a pair of Saturday carryovers at Aqueduct and Keeneland.
Analysis
2022 Breeders' Cup Dirt Contender Rankings
This is how I currently see the top-three players in each of the seven Grade 1 dirt divisions.
Breeders Cup
Sydney Preview: Golden Eagle draws strong field
Sydney’s upstart spring carnival has its own massive offering this weekend in the form of the A$10 million Golden Eagle for four-year-olds.
International
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Oct. 28
Handicapper Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for a trio of stakes on Friday, Oct. 28 at Aqueduct and Keeneland, along with horses to single in the $38,250 Pick 5 carryover at Golden Gate Fields.
Analysis
Meet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Turf contenders
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson takes a horse-by-horse look at pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) at Keeneland, exploring the pros and cons of each contender.
Breeders Cup
Keeneland: 2022 Fayette Stakes Exotics Plays
A compact field of six will go postward in Saturday’s $350,000 Fayette S. (G2) at Keeneland.
Analysis
Meet the 2022 Breeders' Cup Juvenile contenders
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson takes a horse-by-horse look at pre-entries for the 2022 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) at Keeneland, exploring the pros and cons of each contender.
Kentucky Derby
Keeler Johnson's picks and plays Oct. 27
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Thursday, Oct. 27 at Presque Isle Downs and Delaware Park, along with a horse to single in Aqueduct’s $159,032 Pick 6 carryover.
Analysis
Analyzing the 2022 Breeders' Cup Classic pre-entries
A small but stellar field is shaping up for the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
Breeders Cup
Harness Preview: Picks and Horses to Watch Oct. 27-31
Selected features, stakes coverage and the never-ending TwinSpires’ horses-to-watch list (H2W) share keys to success in exotics, win, place and show payoffs.
Analysis
Golden Pal looks to match Beholder, Goldikova as three-time Breeders' Cup winners
Speed rules for Golden Pal, who led rivals gate-to-wire winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2) and Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1) the last two seasons, and the four-year-old seeks to become only the third horse to capture three Breeders’ Cup races when lining up for a title defense in the $1 million Turf Sprint at Keeneland on Nov. 5.
Breeders Cup
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