Betting Guide: Official Kentucky Derby 149 Betting Guides
May 6th, 2023
The annual Kentucky Derby Betting Guide continues to prove a popular resource for all levels of horse-players, from newcomers to veterans alike. TwinSpires has TWO Betting Guides to choose from:
- In our Handicapping Betting Guide, we focus on expert picks, analysis and how to construct your betting strategies for the First Saturday in May!
- In our Meet the Contenders edition, we focus on providing insight on each of the horses poised to start in the Kentucky Derby. Download this free betting guide below!
What's inside the FREE 2023 Kentucky Derby Meet the Contenders Betting Guide?
- Churchill Downs Racetrack Statistics from the previous race meet
- Horse Leaderboards for the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby
- A 5 star rating with PRO and CON talking points on Kentucky Derby contenders
- A full page on each contender, looking at pedigree and ability to win the Greatest Two Minutes In Sports
- Can Artificial Intelligence predict the Kentucky Derby winner?
- How has the winning time of the Kentucky Derby changed over time?
- Horse Signs to watch for while handicapping the Derby
Churchill Downs At a Glance
stats for the previous meet
AVG. WINNING ODDS: 5.77 – 1
FAVORITE WIN%: 34%
FAVORITE ITM%: 65%
| EXOTICS | PAYOFF |
| Exacta | $89.24 |
| Daily Double | $112.09 |
| Trifecta | $765.45 |
| Pick 3 | $862.02 |
| Superfecta | $7,444.75 |
| Pick 4 | $6,322.23 |
| Pick 5 | $66,813.97 |
| Pick 6 Jackpot | 280,211.38 |
| Super High Five | $6,722.09 |
TRACK BIAS MEET (09/15 – 11/27)
| Distance | # Race |
% Wire |
Best Style |
Best Posts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0fDirt | 92 | 24% | E | Middle |
| 7.0fDirt | 48 | 29% | E | Outside |
| 1 MileDirt | 48 | 8% | P | Middle |
| 1 1/16mDirt | 62 | 26% | E/P | Rail/Ins |
| Turf Routes | 8 | 38% | E | Middle |
TRACK BIAS WEEK (11/21 – 11/27)
| Distance | # Race |
% Wire |
Best Style |
Best Posts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0fDirt | 11 | 27% | E | Rail/Ins |
| 7.0fDirt | 12 | 25% | E | Outside |
| 1 MileDirt | 7 | 0% | E/P | Mid/Out |
| 1 1/16mDirt | 13 | 31% | E | Inside |
| Turf Routes | 3 | 67% | E | Middle |
Who’s HOT, Who’s NOT
| HOT TRAINERS | Starts | Wins | Place | Show | Avg. Odds |
Winning Favorites |
’21-‘ 22 Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirer Matt A. | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4.47 | 1 | 21% |
| Beckman D. Whitworth | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.34 | 0 | 15% |
| Miller Darrin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9.79 | 0 | 10% |
| Blair Jordan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14.90 | 0 | 14% |
| Joseph, Jr. Saffie A. | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.23 | 2 | 22% |
| Lauer Michael E. | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13.98 | 0 | 10% |
| Lynch Brian A. | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6.70 | 0 | 18% |
| Wong Jonathan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7.92 | 2 | 22% |
| HOT JOCKEYS | Starts | Wins | Place | Show | Avg. Odds |
Winning Favorites |
’21-‘ 22 Win% |
| Rosario Joel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3.90 | 2 | 21% |
| COLD TRAINERS | Starts | Wins | Place | Show | Avg. Odds |
Beaten Favorites |
’21-‘ 22 Win% |
| Foley Gregory D. | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17.73 | 2 | 15% |
| COLD JOCKEYS | Starts | Wins | Place | Show | Avg. Odds |
Beaten Favorites |
’21-‘ 22 Win% |
| Lanerie Corey J. | 24 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21.35 | 1 | 10% |
| Cannon Declan | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22.37 | 0 | 8% |
| Saez Gabriel | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26.16 | 1 | 11% |
| Rocco, Jr. Joseph | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19.28 | 0 | 12% |
RELATED ARTICLES
- Kentucky Derby Odds: Live Odds and Betting Favorites
- Kentucky Derby Contenders and Lineup
- The Best Longshot to Bet in the 2023 Kentucky Derby
- Kentucky Derby Free Bets and Promotions
- Kentucky Derby 2023 Purse: How much prize money the winning jockey will earn
- 2023 Kentucky Derby Live Updates, Latest News & Notes on Horses, Futures, Odds, Picks
