Carryovers: Aqueduct's $69,914 Pick 6, $26,786 Pick 5 at Fair Grounds

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to single in a trio of Saturday Pick 5 and Pick 6 carryovers at Aqueduct and Fair Grounds.

Aqueduct, Race 4: $69,914 Pick 6 carryover (1:48 p.m. ET)

The Saturday card at Aqueduct is highlighted by a $69,914 carryover in the $1 Pick 6.

The feature event in the six-race sequence is Race 6, the $100,000 Busanda S. for three-year-old fillies racing 1 1/8 miles on dirt. This Road to the Kentucky Oaks qualifier has drawn only five entries, and #2 Shimmering Allure (4-5) is shaping up as a viable single.

Shimmering Allure ran strongly in the 1 1/8-mile Demoiselle (G2) at Aqueduct last month. After rating in fifth position over a muddy track that strongly favored speed, Shimmering Allure rallied to finish second behind gate-to-wire winner Life Talk, who had previously hit the board in the Frizette (G1) and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).

Prior to the Demoiselle, Shimmering Allure had rallied to victory in the one-mile Tempted S. at Aqueduct. Assuming she encounters a fair track in the Busanda, dropping in class should be sufficient to send Shimmering Allure to the winner’s circle at a short price.

Fair Grounds, Race 4: $4,911 Pick 6 carryover (3:45 p.m. ET)
Fair Grounds, Race 5: $26,786 Pick 5 carryover (4:15 p.m. ET)

The final two races on Friday at Fair Grounds were won by horses starting at odds of 21-1 and 28-1, triggering carryovers of $26,786 in the 50-cent Late Pick 5 and $4,911 in the $1 Pick 6.

Both wagers involve Race 6, a $50,000 allowance optional claimer for older horses racing 1 1/16 miles on dirt. Morning line favorite #7 Highland Falls (7-5) looks like the horse to beat in this eight-horse field.

A son of two-time Horse of the Year Curlin out of Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) winner Round Pond, Highland Falls has gone 2-for-3 in Kentucky while earning sharp Brisnet Speed ratings. He was especially strong in his most recent race, rallying from midfield to take a 1 1/16-mile allowance at Churchill Downs by two lengths.

That victory yielded a 96 Brisnet Speed rating, one of the highest numbers belonging to any horse in Saturday’s field. Highland Falls is progressing in the right direction for hot trainer Brad Cox (a 30% winner at Fair Grounds this meet) and he’ll be ridden by jockey Florent Geroux, a 38% winner teaming up with Cox over the last two months.

In short, what’s not to like? Highland Falls looks like a possible stakes horse in the making, and we’re willing to single him in the Pick 5 and Pick 6.

Good luck!