Chasing Saturday carryovers at Ellis Park and Colonial Downs

July 13th, 2024

Looking for carryovers to play this Saturday? Ellis Park and Colonial Downs are ready to oblige with non-jackpot options.

Ellis Park, Race 1: $4,415 Super High 5 carryover (12:50 p.m. ET)

You’ll want to start playing the races early at Ellis Park, because Race 1—a $16,000 starter optional claimer for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs on dirt—feature a $4,415 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.

The seven-horse field is led by #6 Mazoku (3-5), who looks like a standout favorite. In three recent starts against $10,000 starter allowance company sprinting at Churchill Downs, she’s finished second, first, and first with Brisnet Speed ratings of 85, 86, and 86.

Those numbers tower over Saturday’s field. None of Mazoku’s rivals have earned a Brisnet Speed rating higher than 76 in their last three starts apiece. If Mazoku brings her A-game for trainer James Butcher (a 22% winner in sprints), she’ll win for fun at Ellis Park. We recommend keying her on top in the Super High 5.

Colonial Downs, Race 4: $1,516 Pick 6 carryover (3:12 p.m. ET)

Racing was canceled at Colonial Downs on Friday due to poor weather, which means Friday’s $1,516 carryover in the $1 “Old Dominion 6” Pick 6 is now up for grabs during Saturday’s card.

The feature event in the six-race sequence is Race 8, the $125,000 Million Preview S., a 1 1/8-mile turf test that serves as a steppingstone to next month’s Arlington Million (G1). Assuming the Million Preview stays on the grass, #4 Integration (1-1) is going to be a formidable.

Integration is dropping in class out of three straight Grade 1 races. He didn’t get a suitably clear trip when finishing fifth by 1 3/4 lengths in the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1), and the stretch-running four-year-old has since been compromised by slow paces when third in the Maker’s Mark Mile (G1) and fourth in the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (G1).

Dropping in class can send Integration to the winner’s circle. He went 3-for-3 against easier competition last year, though by “easier” we’re referring strictly to race grades; in the 1 1/8-mile Virginia Derby (G3) at Colonial Downs, Integration scored by 1 1/4 lengths over Program Trading, an established Grade 1 winner who has since added two more Grade 1 wins to his record.

None of the other Million Preview entrants can boast form lines as strong as Integration, so we suggest singling him in the Pick 6.

Good luck!

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