The Official EARLY 2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide

April 25th, 2024

Meet your probable entrants for Kentucky Derby 150! 

Expert horse racing analysts Vance Hanson, James Scully, Kellie Reilly and Keeler Johnson have analyzed 'the who' for each athlete most likely competing on May 4, 2024. 

Ratings, Pros, Cons, rich pedigree backgrounds, concise context on connections and abilities...this is a must for forming a full picture of the Kentucky Derby starters. 

Truly a guide, you will know the likelihood of these horses to earn a spot hitting the board. Next week, TwinSpires will publish our HANDICAPPING Betting Guide which contains our expert picks and handicapping analysis for the Kentucky Derby, so be sure to watch for the final Betting Guide.

Every Kentucky Derby hopeful can be found inside our EARLY Betting Guide for the Kentucky Derby. With rich pedigree insights and concise contextual analysis for each angle of contenders, this EARLY Betting Guide is crucial for knowing the competition in the extensive Kentucky Derby field. Find additional information on our Japanese contenders!



Churchill Downs At a Glance report for the previous meet

Find the data behind Churchill Downs stats and trends for the last full meet below. Inside the free PDF Betting Guide Download, you can find more stats for hot trainers, hot jockeys and cold jockeys.

CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE
 
Avg. Winning Odds: 5.67 – 1
Favorite Win%: 35%, Favorite Itm%: 71%
 
EXOTICSPAYOFF
Exacta90.00
Daily Double92.31
Trifecta1,001.68
Pick 3587.67
Superfecta7,904.47
Pick 46,415.54
Pick 528,297.53
Pick 6 Jackpot200,966.84
Super High Five5,301.33
TRACK BIAS MEET(09/14 – 11/26)
 
Distance#
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
6.5fDirt3915%E/PRail/Ins
7.0fDirt4340%EInside
1 MileDirt4622%PInside
1 1/16mDirt7332%E/PMiddle
Turf Sprint1225%POutside
Turf Routes284%PMid/Out
TRACK BIAS WEEK(11/20 – 11/26)
 
Distance#
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
6.5fDirt80%SRail/Ins
7.0fDirt1040%EInside
1 MileDirt1127%EMiddle
1 1/16mDirt1421%E/PRail/Ins
Turf Sprint00%na
Turf Routes10%SInside