Monday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Speed is the key for Availability
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Monday, Nov. 18 at Mahoning Valley, Turf Paradise, and Zia Park.
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Best Bets and Quick Picks
Mahoning Valley: Race 4: $5,000 Maiden Claiming (one mile and 70 yards on dirt, 2:08 p.m. ET)
There’s very little speed in this field, and possible pacesetter #1 Turbo Trip (9-2) might not want to run this far, so we’ll throw our support behind #7 Availability (5-2). The three-year-old gelding often shows tactical speed, and two starts back he finished third in a one-mile maiden special weight at Thistledown.
There’s something exciting about betting late-running Thoroughbreds and cheering for them to catch up down the homestretch, but they’re generally at a disadvantage against rivals with superior early speed. @Brisnet Pace ratings can help you find them ⤵️ https://t.co/B5d1WFNkdE
— TwinSpires Racing 🏇 (@TwinSpires) November 15, 2022
A win bet on Availability is the way we’ll play.
Selections
- #7 Availability (5-2)
- #4 Convert (9-5)
- #1 Turbo Trip (9-2)
Wagers
- $30 to win on #7 Availability
Turf Paradise: Race 7: $50,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (six furlongs on dirt, 5:04 p.m. ET)
#3 A Thousand Miles (3-1) has placed in multiple stakes at Emerald Downs. Last time out, she squared off against males in the Gottstein Futurity and finished second by a neck, earning a 73 Brisnet Speed rating.
Now A Thousand Miles is returning to the filly ranks for a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. None of her rivals have posted a Brisnet Speed rating higher than 71, so A Thousand Miles looms as a logical win threat.
#2 Sapello La Fina (5-2), a capable sprinter who finished ahead of A Thousand Miles in an August stakes, can complete the exacta.
Selections
- #3 A Thousand Miles (3-1)
- #2 Sapello La Fina (5-2)
- #1 Welcometohollywood (7-2)
Wagers
- $15 to win on #3 A Thousand Miles
- $15 Exacta: 3 with 2
Total: $30
Zia Park: Race 8: $15,000 Maiden Claiming (5 1/2 furlongs on dirt, 5:21 p.m. ET)
#4 Ulooklikeuloveme (5-2) looks ready to win on debut for trainer Dick Cappellucci. The two-year-old filly enters off a fast half-mile workout from the Zia Park starting gate in :46 4/5, and she’ll be guided by hot jockey Harry Hernandez, a 30% winner teaming up with Cappellucci over the last two months.
Let’s keep things simple with a win bet on Ulooklikeuloveme.
Selections
- #4 Ulooklikeuloveme (5-2)
- #5 Bonnie Mae’s Mark (9-5)
- #2 Sis Spender (4-1)
Wagers
- $30 to win on #4 Ulooklikeuloveme
Good luck!
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