Pick 6 carryovers: Mandatory $921,256 at Gulfstream, $1,359 at Fair Grounds
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares horses to play in a pair of Sunday Pick 6 carryovers at Gulfstream Park and Fair Grounds.
Gulfstream Park, Race 6: $921,256 Pick 6 mandatory payout (2:35 p.m. ET)
Easily the most lucrative carryover up for grabs on Sunday is the $921,256 Rainbow Pick 6 prize pool at Gulfstream Park. The 20-cent jackpot wager is scheduled for a mandatory payout, and the final pool is projected to exceed the $6 million mark.
One of the most interesting legs of the sequence is Race 7, a maiden special weight for three-year-olds racing 7 1/2 furlongs on turf. #2 Oscarworthy (8-1) looks like a live longshot worth including. The unraced son of Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) winner Oscar Performance has put together a decent work tab for red-hot trainer Brian Lynch, who has gone 15-for-42 (36%) at Gulfstream since Dec. 1.
What are mandatory-payout carryovers, and why are they valuable?
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Another intriguing leg is Race 9, a 1 1/8-mile handicap taking place over 1 1/8 miles on Tapeta. Morning line favorite #4 Fly the W (5-2) looks formidable after winning six of his last eight starts, all racing two turns over the Gulfstream Tapeta. He rallied to win a one-mile and 70-yard handicap last time out with a sharp 94 Brisnet Speed rating,
But don’t overlook #5 Race Craft (7-2) at a slightly better price. Race Craft’s last two starts over the Gulfstream Tapeta have yielded victories in $20,000 starter optional claimers, and the first of those scores came by a nose over Fly the W.
Race Craft and Fly the W have actually met four times in the last year, and Race Craft has finished ahead of his rival on three occasions. If you’re supporting Fly the W (as most bettors will), you’ll want to strongly consider adding Race Craft to your ticket.
Fair Grounds, Race 3: $1,359 Pick 6 carryover (2:45 p.m. ET)
Handicapping Sunday’s $1,359 Pick 6 carryover at Fair Grounds isn’t easy. The sequence for the $1 wager contains three turf races, but there’s a good chance those three races will be transferred to the main track.
Assuming that’s the case, the main-track-only entrant #11 Doctor Nash (6-1) in Race 5 will be quite appealing. Race 5 is an allowance that will take place over about one mile on turf or one mile and 70 yards on dirt, and the latter configuration should suit Doctor Nash just fine.
Doctor Nash misfired in a $40,000 claimer over the Turfway Park Tapeta track last time out, finishing last, but two starts back he led almost all the way to win a $30,000 maiden claimer racing one mile on dirt at Churchill Downs. That victory yielded an encouraging 84 Brisnet Speed rating, and a repeat on Sunday should put Doctor Nash in the hunt for victory, perhaps at nice odds.
Good luck!
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