Presque Isle Downs Selections and Analysis for Aug. 3

Race One:

1st: #3 BACKDOORPARTY – beat state-bred allowance foes two starts back then was an even fourth against $20K open claimers. He drops down in class for Katy Cheeks, who adds Lasix and retains Pablo Morales.

2nd: #6 JERRY’S SECRET – has run well out of town on synthetic tracks and makes his Presque Isle debut for Susan Anderson, who wins 16% with this surface switch and 18% of third starts off the layoff. Son of Secret Circle should be tough in his third start off the long layoff.

3rd: #5 BAHAMIAN PARK – is only 1-for-14 here but moves up a notch in class off a sharp win.

 

Race Two:

1st: #4 REDUCTA – still a maiden after 11 tries but this is the cheapest she has ever raced for. She showed high speed in two sprints at Gulfstream Park over the Tapeta, then tired here last out after a half mile as the 6-5 favorite.

2nd: #5 CALL TONY – was an even fourth two starts back here then showed better gate speed last out when blinkers were added. Tim Hamm wins 33% with this dropdown and 23% with his synthetic-track starters. Pablo Morales rides back.

3rd: #1 DIALED ME PERFECT – showed good speed before tiring as the even-money favorite in her career debut.

 

Race Three:

1st: #5 FORGOTTEN PEACE – horse for the course has won eight times here against top company. She began this year with two good seconds then won easily last out for Tim Girten, who wins 26% of first starts after a win.

2nd: #4 TOOLCAT – was off for nine months before returning here and going gate to wire. She shipped up to Finger Lakes last out and won going 5 1/2 furlongs for Ron Potts, who wins 23% going short to long and 19% of first starts after a win.

3rd: #1 DANA’S BEAUTY – just missed two starts back going this distance then ran second again while claimed by Mike Rogers.

 

Race Four:

1st: #5 WORKING OVERTIME – was a good second behind a next-out winner two starts back then raced wide last out. She has plenty of back class, and Ron Allen Jr. should be able to work out a stalking trip.

2nd: #2 KEYPIT – daughter of Congrats has been up and down the class ladder trying to live up to a decent pedigree and $60K purchase price. She woke up here last out with a good fourth from post nine.

3rd: #7 NEVISIAN SPIRIT – dropped down to this level two starts back with a good win to finish up last season.

 

Race Five:

1st: #5 NOT ORBINARY – returned to the races two starts back off a five-month layoff and was a decent third against better company. She dropped down to this level and missed by a nose and wheels right back against them.

2nd: #4 ANNIE UP BUCK – beat bottom-level claimers two races in a row here going two turns then held on well for third behind the top choice. John Guciardo wins 15% with his claimers and 23% when he uses Rocco Bowen.

3rd: #3 BLARNEY GIRL – ran well on the Tapeta at Turfway Park and prepped for this with a second on the turf against better.

 

Race Six:

1st: #8 POSH PLAYDAY – comes in here off three straight solid sprints against similar company. She was right there in the deep stretch last out in a long sprint for Glenn Wismer, who wins 13% with his synthetic-track starters.

2nd: #7 PUFFER FISH – didn’t run bad in her lone start against this allowance level, and the daughter of Tale of Ekati has good early pace. Claimed for $5K two starts back, she was a good third against optional claiming company in fast time.

3rd: #6 CHEROKEE CHATTER – romped three starts back then tired badly next out. She was an even second against boys last out.

 

Race Seven:

1st: #2 DECLARED – horse for the course won three straight races here going two turns then stretched out in distance last out and won easily for John Bourke, who wins 24% of first starts after a win and 31% with Walber Alencar.

2nd: #3 NICE ACE – horse for the course has six wins and six seconds in 12 starts here. He romped by over five lengths in a state-bred stakes race here last out going this distance in very fast time for Tim Girten, who wins 31% with his allowance runners.

3rd: #4 CHIC N WILBUR – couldn’t hang on after setting a pedestrian pace two starts back then rallied for second.

 

Race Eight:

1st: #7 ALPHA PREDATOR – took him 13 starts to break his maiden then he came right back to win again. He raced evenly last out and now drops down in class for Tim Hamm, who wins 33% with this move and 25% of first starts after being beaten as the favorite.

2nd: #5 ADIOS BOBBY – was a good second two starts back after leading the deep stretch then came back and won going away as the 2-1 favorite. Mike Pappada wins 27% of first starts after a win and 15% when he uses Erin Walker.  

3rd: #6 MARKET MOVER – been a long time since he visited the winner’s circle but showed signs of life last out.