Presque Isle Downs Selections and Analysis for Sept. 19

Race One:

1st: #7 GINS AND TINS – ran against this claiming level in his first start off the claim by Scooter Davis, and he missed by a length in fast time. He moved up in class his next two starts but won easily last out when dropped back down.

2nd: #5 DIGITAL FOOTPRINT – drops down in class and distance after racing evenly against open allowance foes. When he did sprint earlier this year, he had a win and a second against first-level allowance foes. Matt Kintz wins 20% going long to short.

3rd: #1 LIFE MISSION – speedball breaking from post 1 for Leland Hayes, who wins 45% of first starts after being beaten as the favorite.

 

Race Two:

1st: #1 KATE’S KINGDOM – has run well on Tapeta at Gulfstream and Woodbine. He won a similar stakes race at Gulfstream Park two starts back then was an even third in a slow-paced Grade 3 at Woodbine.

2nd: #10 I RECALL – just missed here to start the season then was a good third. He won a stakes race going two turns on the turf at Belterra then won a stakes race on the dirt at Thistledown. John Bourke wins 25% of first starts after a win and 29% with Angel Stanley.

3rd: #5 TACTICAL PAJAMAS – was doing well sprinting then stretched out to two turns and won a state-bred stakes race here.

 

Race Three:

1st: #5 OLDFIELDS – first-time starter from Mike Stidham, who wins 15% with his debut runners. Daughter of Bernardini (10% debut winners) is out of a dam by Street Cry (11% debut winners) whose lone foal to race is a juvenile winner.

2nd: #6 MEGAN MAKIN MONEY – just missed in her career debut here going five furlongs in fast time then came back and showed high speed to the final yards as the 11-10 favorite. She continues to train well and will be the one to catch.

3rd: #2 VIDEO STAR – busted out of the gate and opened up a clear lead before tiring in the final yards at 35-1.

 

Race Four:

1st: #6 NICE ACE – won a state-bred stakes race going two turns in very fast time then beat open allowance foes. He tired in the deep stretch last out and now turns back to a sprint, where he has run well before. Five-furlong bullet workout says he’s ready.

2nd: #11 CHANNEL FURY – has run well here before but shows up in great form off a series of dirt races at Thistledown. He has to overcome post 11, but he has a stalking style that works here. James Jackson wins 20% going long to short.

3rd: #8 PETIT VERDOT – horse for the course has thrived since coming here and gets the great Luis Saez in the irons.

 

Race Five:

1st: #5 EMICRACK – beat better two starts back going this distance at Woodbine then came back and raced evenly after being bumped around at the break and forced to race wide. He drops down in class and gets Antonio Gallardo back aboard.

2nd: #3 THE SINNER IS YOU – horse for the course has won eight times here and beat this starter allowance level easily two starts back as the 7-5 favorite. Ed Rojas wins 24% of first starts after being beaten as the favorite and gets Pablo Morales.

3rd: #6 DON’T POKE THE CAT – ships in from Mountaineer Park off two straight dirt wins going a mile.

 

Race Six:

1st: #2 HARLAN ESTATE – ships in from Canada after much success on Tapeta and turf up there. He beat high class allowance foes two starts back when he overcame a slow pace then was a good second in a Grade 2 stakes race on the turf.

2nd: #4 SURLY FURIOUS – won three starts in a row here, including the Karl Boyes S. in 1:03 3/5! He raced even against stakes foes going two turns when he could not overcome post 10 and now draws much better with Luis Saez.

3rd: #7 TITLE READY – has plenty of back class on the dirt, and the son of the late More Than Ready tries Tapeta for the first time.

 

Race Seven:

1st: #6 HE’S A MESS – broke his maiden going six furlongs three starts back then stretched out to a mile and won easily. He chased the pace last out against one level better but it was in very fast time. He seems to have enough cruising speed for this.

2nd: #5 JO JO HANS – raced wide against these in his first start off the claim by Gerry Brooks. He came back with two good thirds when stuck behind slow paces. Brooks wins 19% with his overall synthetic-track starters and 14% going long.

3rd: #3 VALENTINE BUG – horse for the course has used up all his state-bred allowance conditions and now tries open company.

 

Race Eight:

1st: #6 CARAVEL – won both of her starts here in the past and after winning a turf sprint at Saratoga, Brad Cox has pointed her for this. She has enough gate speed to stay out of traffic and gets Luis Saez back aboard.

2nd: #5 ARTIE’S PRINCESS – is 6-for-10 on synthetic tracks and won a Grade 2 stakes race at Woodbine two years ago in fast time going seven furlongs. Saffie Joseph wins 25% off medium rest and gets Jose Ortiz.

3rd: #3 CHANGE OF CONTROL – excellent turf sprinter tries Tapeta for Michelle Lovell, who wins 16% with her overall sprints.

 

Race Nine:

1st: #6 AMERICAN CHAOS – not a horse for the course but has been second or third in four starts here. He showed high speed two starts back when used hard from the rail then came from just off the pace before weakening late.

2nd: #1 STUDYLONGSTDYWRONG – drops down in class and distance after racing evenly here last out going a mile. This is the lowest claiming price he has raced for and should have enough gate speed to keep up early.

3rd: #7 GOLDEN OAK – last three starts were going two turns, but she did break her maiden here going one turn last year.