The 2017 Arlington Million Betting Guide

TwinSpires Staff

August 9th, 2017

Arriving on Saturday, August 12, 2017 is the Arlington Million at Arlington Interntional Racecourse. The prestigeous tradition contiues as one of racing's most prized turf races with international contenders arriving for their chance to compete among North American runners.

Download this FREE betting tool from TwinSpires.com, which provides valuable information for the 2017 Arlington Million Day.

Arlington Million Stakes Schedule

  • Race 7 - 3:39pm - Secretariat S.
  • Race 8 - 4:13pm - Bruce D. Memorial S.
  • Race 9 - 4:51pm - American St. Leger S.
  • Race 10 - 5:35pm - Beverly D. S.
  • Race 11 - 6:19pm - Arlington Million XXXV S.
  • Race 12 - 7:02pm - Pucker Up S.

 

Arlington Million Day Stakes Schedule Overview

by Alastair Bull

RACE 7 – SECRETARIAT STAKES G1, 3yos, 1 ¼ miles, Turf Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Oscar Performance confirmed he was back to his best in the Belmont Derby, beating foreign opposition and Good Samaritan, who then toppled Always Dreaming and Cloud Computing in the Jim Dandy Stakes. He’s the 8-5 morning-line favorite in a small but select six-horse field that includes Sonic Boom and Gorgeous Kitten, who finished 1-2 in the American Derby, and three good Europeans: King Edward VII Stakes winner Permian (9-5 morning line), French 3-year-old Afandem, and Taj Mahal, who seeks to give Aidan O’Brien his fifth Secretariat Stakes.

RACE 8 – BRUCE D. MEMORIAL STAKES, 3yos, 1 mile, Polytrack Smarty Jones Stakes winner and one-time Kentucky Derby contender Uncontested races for the first time since finishing third in the Pat Day Mile May 6. His foes include Society Beau, third to McCraken in the Matt Winn Stakes, dual Canadian stakes winner Yorkton, multiple graded stakes-placed Kitten’s Cat, and a number of horses untested in stakes company.

RACE 9 – AMERICAN ST LEGER G3, 3yos & up, 1 11/16 miles, Turf Michael Maker has a solid hand in this race with Taghleeb, recently second in the Man o’ War Stakes, and Keystoneforvictory, conqueror of The Pizza Man in the Stars and Stripes Stakes. Their toughest opponents look to be Stars and Stripes third-place finisher Applicator and multiple graded stakes-placed Bullards Alley.

RACE 10 – BEVERLY D. STAKES, G1, F&M 3yo & up, 1 3/16 miles, Turf Argentinian G1 winner Dona Bruja is the 7-2 morning line favorite after winning both her U.S. starts this year. She faces a tough potential rival in Irish 3-year-old filly Rain Goddess, second in both the Pretty Polly Stakes (beating subsequent Man o’ War Stakes winner Zhukova) and the Irish Oaks (behind the outstanding Enable). Other leading chances include Hawksmoor, winner of two graded stakes at Belmont this year, and the Chad Brown trio of Dacita, Grand Jete, and Rainha Da Bateria.

RACE 11 – ARLINGTON MILLION, G1, 3yo & up, 1 ¼ miles, Turf Irish colt Deauville, third in this race last year, is rated the 7-2 favorite. His efforts this season include victory in the Huxley Stakes (G3) and a third-place finish to Ribchester in the Queen Anne Stakes (G1) at Royal Ascot. The European contingent also includes French group 1 winner Mekhtaal and Godolphin’s Scottish, fifth to Highland Reel in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes. Woodford Reserve Turf Classic winner Divisidero heads the home team, which includes 2016 Arlington Million runner-up Kasaqui, popular 2015 winner The Pizza Man, and Manhattan Stakes winner Ascend.

RACE 12 – PUCKER UP STAKES, G3, 3yo F, 1 1/8 miles, Turf Happy Mesa is a multiple stakes winner, but she was a very disappointing last in the Ta Wee Stakes at Indiana Grand behind several of her opponents here, including Fault, Lovely Bernadette, and Dontmesswithjoanne, who finished second, third, and fifth respectively. Lipstick City was a last-start stakes winner at Monmouth Park and deserves respect, as does Delaware Park stakes winner Journey Home.

Arlington Park At A Glance for Current Meet

Data is through Sunday August 8, 2017

Avg. Winning Odds: 4.78 – 1
Favorite Win%: 37%, Favorite Itm%: 76%
 
EXOTICS PAYOFF
Exacta 63.12
Daily Double 76.25
Trifecta 378.32
Pick 3 519.16
Superfecta 2,183.20
Pick 4 4,312.27
Pick 5 16,291.83
Pick 6 Jackpot 18,835.71
Super High Five Jackpot 31,952.63

 

TRACK BIAS MEET(05/05 – 08/06)
Distance #
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
 
6.0fDirt 84 50% E Inside  
6.5fDirt 23 35% E Inside  
1 MileDirt 15 13% E/P Mid/Out  
1 1/16mDirt 66 42% E Rail/Ins  
Turf Sprint 39 26% P Rail  
Turf Routes 89 26% P Rail/Ins  

 

TRACK BIAS WEEK(07/31 – 08/06)
Distance #
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
 
6.0fDirt 4 50% E Middle  
6.5fDirt 4 25% S Outside  
1 MileDirt 1 0% P Middle  
1 1/16mDirt 3 0% E/P Rail/Ins  
Turf Sprint 3 33% E/P Rail  
Turf Routes 11 27% P Inside

 

Who’s HOT, Who’s NOT
 
HOT TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Winning
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Rivelli Larry 24 8 3 5 1.83 5 27%
Manley Steve 18 6 1 1 8.18 1 18%
Boyce Michele 10 4 4 1 2.91 1 16%
Becker Scott 11 4 3 0 4.14 2 27%
Cristel Mark J. 8 3 1 1 10.38 0 13%
Aguirre Rey 3 2 0 1 14.83 1 12%
Becker Judd 4 2 0 1 13.93 0 10%
Ganbat Enebish 4 2 0 2 3.73 0 14%
 
HOT JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Winning
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Valdivia, Jr. Jose 26 10 4 4 2.18 8 22%
 
COLD JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Beaten
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Felix Julio E. 20 0 2 4 11.12 1 13%
Cotto, Jr. Pedro L. 11 0 1 0 13.91 0 11%

 

The Arlington Million Betting Guide holds data and information for the full day and is a wonderful tool for increasing your knowledge of potential trends before placing those bets. Bookmark this blog page and click to download our PDF version, or print, so you can acces our TwinSpires expert picks in hand at any location.

Find out TwinSpires Free betting guides library here, which holds a wealth of strategies and educational stories to help improve your betting.

 

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