The Official EARLY 2025 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide

Meet your probable Derby Contenders
The official EARLY 2025 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide is here
Expert horse racing analysts Vance Hanson, James Scully, Kellie Reilly, and Keeler Johnson have analyzed 'the who' for each potential Kentucky Derby Contender running on May 3, 2025.
Ratings, Pros, Cons, rich pedigree backgrounds, concise context on connections and abilities...this is a must for forming a full picture of the Kentucky Derby starters.
Truly a guide, you will know the likelihood of these horses to earn a spot hitting the board. Next week, TwinSpires will publish our HANDICAPPING Betting Guide which contains our expert picks and handicapping analysis for the Kentucky Derby, so be sure to watch for the final Betting Guide.



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Churchill Downs At a Glance report for the previous meet
Find the data behind Churchill Downs stats and trends for the last full meet below. Inside the free PDF Betting Guide Download, you can find more stats for hot trainers, hot jockeys and cold jockeys.
CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE | |
---|---|
Avg. Winning Odds: 5.33 - 1 | |
Favorite Win%: 36%, Favorite Itm%: 69% | |
EXOTICS |
PAYOFF |
Pick 3 | 680.23 |
Pick 4 | 7,294.65 |
Pick 5 | 37,040.63 |
Pick 6 Jackpot | 214,604.64 |
Daily Double | 95.14 |
Exacta | 83.15 |
Superfecta | 4,712.53 |
Super High Five | 5,472.64 |
Trifecta | 631.10 |
TRACK BIAS MEET(09/12 - 12/01) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Distance |
# |
% |
Best |
Best |
6.0fDirt |
103 |
28% |
E |
Outside |
6.5fDirt |
40 |
25% |
P |
Rail/Ins |
1 MileDirt |
52 |
23% |
E/P |
Mid/Out |
1 1/16mDirt |
81 |
23% |
E/P |
Inside |
Turf Sprint |
5 |
0% |
S |
Outside |
Turf Routes |
27 |
7% |
P |
Outside |
TRACK BIAS WEEK(11/25 - 12/01) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Distance |
# |
% |
Best |
Best |
6.0fDirt |
12 |
25% |
P |
Mid/Out |
6.5fDirt |
6 |
17% |
P |
Mid/Out |
1 MileDirt |
12 |
17% |
E |
Middle |
1 1/16mDirt |
10 |
20% |
P |
Inside |
Turf Sprint |
0 |
0% |
- |
na |
Turf Routes |
6 |
17% |
E/P |
Inside |
