The Official EARLY 2025 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide

April 24th, 2025

Meet your probable Derby Contenders 

The official EARLY 2025 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide is here

Expert horse racing analysts Vance Hanson, James Scully, Kellie Reilly, and Keeler Johnson have analyzed 'the who' for each potential Kentucky Derby Contender running on May 3, 2025.

Ratings, Pros, Cons, rich pedigree backgrounds, concise context on connections and abilities...this is a must for forming a full picture of the Kentucky Derby starters

Truly a guide, you will know the likelihood of these horses to earn a spot hitting the board. Next week, TwinSpires will publish our HANDICAPPING Betting Guide which contains our expert picks and handicapping analysis for the Kentucky Derby, so be sure to watch for the final Betting Guide.


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May 1-3 | LIVE coverage of Thurby, Oaks, and Kentucky Derby Day with exclusive up-to-date all-access trackside coverage. LIVE race odds, including Kentucky Derby odds, picks, entries for all the races, and so much more!

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Churchill Downs At a Glance report for the previous meet

Find the data behind Churchill Downs stats and trends for the last full meet below. Inside the free PDF Betting Guide Download, you can find more stats for hot trainers, hot jockeys and cold jockeys.

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS AT A GLANCE

 
Avg. Winning Odds: 5.33 - 1
Favorite Win%: 36%, Favorite Itm%: 69%
 
EXOTICS

 

PAYOFF

Pick 3680.23
Pick 47,294.65
Pick 537,040.63
Pick 6 Jackpot214,604.64
Daily Double95.14
Exacta83.15
Superfecta4,712.53
Super High Five5,472.64
Trifecta631.10
TRACK BIAS MEET(09/12 - 12/01)
 
Distance

 

#
Race

 

%
Wire

 

Best
Style

 

Best
Posts

6.0fDirt

 

103

 

28%

 

E

 

Outside

6.5fDirt

 

40

 

25%

 

P

 

Rail/Ins

1 MileDirt

 

52

 

23%

 

E/P

 

Mid/Out

1 1/16mDirt

 

81

 

23%

 

E/P

 

Inside

Turf Sprint

 

5

 

0%

 

S

 

Outside

Turf Routes

 

27

 

7%

 

P

 

Outside

TRACK BIAS WEEK(11/25 - 12/01)
 
Distance

 

#
Race

 

%
Wire

 

Best
Style

 

Best
Posts

6.0fDirt

 

12

 

25%

 

P

 

Mid/Out

6.5fDirt

 

6

 

17%

 

P

 

Mid/Out

1 MileDirt

 

12

 

17%

 

E

 

Middle

1 1/16mDirt

 

10

 

20%

 

P

 

Inside

Turf Sprint

 

0

 

0%

 

-

 

na

Turf Routes

 

6

 

17%

 

E/P

 

Inside

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