Thursday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Double-digit longshots
Racing at Churchill Downs (Photo by Coady Media)
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Thursday, May 30 at Horseshoe Indianapolis and Churchill Downs, including a pair of double-digit longshots.
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Best Bets and Quick Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis: Race 3: Maiden Special Weight (1 1/16 miles on turf, 3:12 p.m. ET)
The unraced #5 Redemption Speight (12-1) hails from the barn of Paulo Lobo, a 23% winner with first-time starters. Since 2021, Lobo has compiled an excellent 2-for-5 (40%) record debuting horses in turf routes at Horseshoe Indianapolis.
Redemption Speight capped off a lengthy string of workouts with a bullet three furlongs in :36 1/5, and jockey Evin Roman (a 33% winner teaming up with Lobo over the last two months) is named to ride, so there are reasons to support Redemption Speight at his 12-1 morning line odds. A win bet is in order.
Selections
- #5 Redemption Speight (12-1)
- #3 Mohtafil (6-1)
- #1 Gold Aspen (5-2)
Wagers
- $25 to win on #5 Redemption Speight
Churchill Downs: Race 1: Maiden Special Weight (5 1/2 furlongs, 5:00 p.m. ET)
First-time starter #6 I Got Game (5-1) has put together a sharp work tab for trainer Tom Amoss, who has gone 10-for-29 (29%) debuting horses at Churchill Downs since 2021. On May 16, I Got Game clocked a half-mile from the Churchill Downs starting gate in :47 3/5. On May 23, he traveled five furlongs over the same track in 1:00 4/5.
As a son of champion two-year-old male Game Winner, I Got Game has the potential to shine from an early age. His 5-1 morning line odds are appealing, so let’s bet I Got Game to win.
Selections
- #6 I Got Game (5-1)
- #8 The Toner (7-2)
- #2 Predecessor (3-1)
Wagers
- $25 to win on #6 I Got Game
Churchill Downs: Race 4: $20,000 Maiden Claiming (6 1/2 furlongs, 6:27 p.m. ET)
#9 Baule Del Tesoro (10-1) has shown some speed in the mornings, most notably working a half-mile over the Churchill Downs training track in a near-bullet :47 4/5. The unraced four-year-old son of Union Rags is trained by Michael Puhich, a 27% winner with horses debuting in maiden claimers.
Since 2022, Puhich has gone 2-for-7 (29%) saddling first-time starters at Churchill Downs. One of those was an 8-1 shot who prevailed in a $20,000 maiden claimer. There are enough positives in Baule Del Tesoro’s corner to make his 10-1 morning line odds appealing, so we’ll round out our daily plays with a $20 win bet.
Selections
- #9 Baule Del Tesoro (10-1)
- #2 Patriarchal (9-2)
- #11 Chulligan (7-2)
Wagers
- $20 to win on #9 Baule Del Tesoro
Good luck!
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