Turfway Park: A single for the $216,985 Pick 5 carryover

February 25th, 2023

From a betting perspective, the Friday card at Turfway Park was pure chaos, leading to a massive $216,985 non-jackpot carryover for Saturday’s 50-cent Late Pick 5.

Friday’s eight winners started at 4-1, 5-1, 10-1, 77-1, 19-10, 6-1, 7-2, and 54-1. No one hit the early Pick 5 or the Late Pick 5, so the two carryovers ($126,046 and $90,939) are being combined for a single Late Pick 5 carryover on Saturday.

In addition, the 54-1 winner in the finale triggered an $11,129 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.

Turfway Park, Race 4: $216,985 Pick 5 carryover (7:25 p.m. ET)

If you’re looking for a single to build Pick 5 tickets around, your best chance might come right off the bat in Race 4, a $15,000 maiden claimer taking place over one mile on Tapeta.

A tough field has assembled, but morning line favorite #6 Laytown (3-1) looks like a solid choice. The son of Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Nyquist ran second over this track, distance, and class level on Jan. 12, beaten two lengths after carving out the pace.

Laytown subsequently ran third in a $30,000 maiden claimer sprinting 6 1/2 furlongs at Turfway. Dropping down in class and stretching out in distance can trigger a rebound from the chestnut gelding, especially since there isn’t much pace on paper in Saturday’s field. If Laytown shakes loose on an uncontested lead, he may prove impossible to catch.

Turfway Park, Race 8: $11,129 Super High 5 carryover (9:25 p.m. ET)

If you want to win a share of the Super High 5 carryover, you’ll have to decipher Race 8, a $7,500 claimer for horses who have never won three races. The distance is one mile on Tapeta, and 14 horses (including two on the also-eligible list) have been entered.

Two logical contenders are #3 Panorama Truck (5-1) and #5 Seven and Seven (5-1). Panorama Truck ran second over this precise track, distance, and class level on Jan. 6, earning a career-best 79 Brisnet Speed rating. Seven and Seven boasts more recent form, having wired a $7,500 claimer for non-winners of two races on Feb. 11 at Turfway, winning the one-mile contest by 2 3/4 lengths with a 77 Brisnet Speed rating.

But both Panorama Truck and Seven and Seven are speed horses, and there’s a fair amount of pace in this large field. So perhaps #10 Carmel Bay (7-2) is a more likely winner. The six-year-old gelding ran fifth (placed fourth via disqualification) in a $15,000 claimer on Jan. 19 and sixth in a $30,000 claimer on Feb. 2. Those efforts produced sharp Brisnet Speed ratings of 85 and 76, so Carmel Bay should be formidable while dropping down to the $7,500 level. The fact he prefers rallying from off the pace adds to the appeal, stamping Carmel Bay as a horse worth keying on top in the Super High 5.

Good luck!

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