Tuesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: 3 plays at Turf Paradise

March 11th, 2025

Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Tuesday, March 11 at Turf Paradise, including a win play at 9-2 morning-line odds.

Today’s special offers from TwinSpires include:

  • New Players $200 Sign-Up Bonus: Open your TwinSpires.com account using the offer code BET200 to start earning a $200 bonus.
  • 5x Points on Harness Racing: Receive 5x rewards points on all bets at harness tracks (excluding show bets) each Monday through Wednesday from Feb. 17 through March 26.
  • Cheltenham $10 Money Back: Receive $10 back on your first single-horse win bet if your horse runs second or third in all eligible races at Cheltenham Racecourse from Tuesday through Friday.

Today’s TwinSpires tournaments include:

Best Bets and Quick Picks

Turf Paradise: Race 3: $12,500 Allowance Optional Claiming (6 1/2 furlongs on dirt, 5:21 p.m. ET)

#3 Howbeit (9-2) hasn’t missed the exacta in his last five starts, including a trio of six-furlong claimers at Turf Paradise this meet. Along the way he’s earned sharp Brisnet Speed ratings of 86, 77, 83, 81, and 80.

Howbeit is a good fit for Tuesday’s field and looks ready to outrun his 9-2 morning-line odds in his first start for hot trainer Justin Evans. A win bet is in order.

Selections

  • #3 Howbeit (9-2)
  • #5 Hot Chicks Only (5-1)
  • #6 Overly Fast (6-1)

Wagers

  • $25 to win on #3 Howbeit

Turf Paradise: Race 8: $15,000 Allowance Optional Claiming (about one mile on turf, 7:42 p.m. ET)

Southern California shipper #1 One Time Mark (2-1) should be tough to beat while taking his game to Turf Paradise for new trainer Robertino Diodoro, a 22% winner with horses running for the first time under his care.

One Time Mark exits a third-place finish in a $25,000 claimer racing one mile over the Santa Anita turf course. Two starts back he ran fourth in a $50,000 starter optional claimer over the same course and distance. Those efforts yielded sharp Brisnet Speed ratings of 80 and 85.

Let’s bet One Time Mark to win and single him to start a double wager.

Selections

  • #1 One Time Mark (2-1)
  • #3 Pacific Theater (4-1)
  • #5 Mangia Plane (12-1)

Wagers

  • $25 to win on #1 One Time Mark
  • $10 Double: 1 with 12
    Total: $35

Turf Paradise: Race 9: $4,000 Claiming (five furlongs on dirt, 8:10 p.m. ET)

#12 Aloha Kitten (5-2) tired after dueling for the lead in a recent $6,250 claimer racing one mile over the Turf Paradise turf course, finishing fifth by three lengths. But she’d previously cracked the trifecta in a pair of $4,000 claimers sprinting on dirt at Turf Paradise, earning sharp Brisnet Speed ratings of 71 and 75.

Dropping back down to the $4,000 level for a five-furlong dirt dash should allow Aloha Kitten to take home top honors. We’ll single her to conclude our double wager and bet her to win for good measure.

Selections

  • #12 Aloha Kitten (5-2)
  • #1 Lucy Treasure (7-2)
  • #4 Hey Barmaid (20-1)

Wagers

  • $15 to win on #12 Aloha Kitten

Good luck!

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