Wednesday’s Best Bets and Quick Picks: Ticket for the $10,251 Super High 5
Racing at Gulfstream Park (Photo by Coglianese Photos)
Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares best bets and quick picks for Wednesday, Feb. 19 at Gulfstream Park, Tampa Bay Downs, and Turf Paradise, including a ticket for Gulfstream’s $10,251 Super High 5 carryover.
Today’s special offers from TwinSpires include:
- New Players $200 Sign-Up Bonus: Open your TwinSpires.com account using the offer code BET200 to start earning a $200 bonus.
- 5x Points on Harness Racing: Receive 5x rewards points on all bets at harness tracks (excluding show bets) each Monday through Wednesday from Feb. 17 through March 26.
Today’s TwinSpires tournaments include:
Best Bets and Quick Picks
Gulfstream Park: Race 4: $12,500 Maiden Claiming (5 1/2 furlongs on Tapeta, 2:26 p.m. ET)
Three horses offer appeal in this maiden claimer for three-year-old fillies.
#1 Nanananabooboo (5-2) is dropping in class off a sixth-place finish in a $25,000 maiden claimer sprinting five furlongs over the Gulfstream Tapeta track.
#5 Nvdia (6-1) ran second by a neck in a dirt race over this distance and class level on Jan. 4. Last fall, she was beaten only 2 1/4 lengths when fifth in a $16,000 maiden claimer dashing five furlongs over Gulfstream’s Tapeta.
#6 C C Girl (9-5) finished fifth in a 5 1/2-furlong Tapeta maiden special weight on Jan. 8 at Gulfstream, her lone start so far over a synthetic track.
Let’s box these three in the trifecta.
Selections
- #1 Nanananabooboo (5-2)
- #6 C C Girl (9-5)
- #5 Nvdia (6-1)
Wagers
- $5 Trifecta: box 1,5,6 ($30)
Tampa Bay Downs: Race 8: $25,000 Maiden Claiming (six furlongs on dirt, 4:15 p.m. ET)
First-time starter #3 Just Buu (5-2) has turned in a lengthy string of half-mile workouts in preparation for his debut. Trainer John Rigattieri has gone 3-for-10 (30%) saddling first-time starters in recent years, which includes a 1-for-3 (33%) tally at Tampa Bay Downs, so expect Just Buu to deliver a competitive performance in his first start.
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It helps that Just Buu is a son of Bucchero (who sires a sharp 17% winners from first-time starters) out of Carolinaonmymind, who has foaled three winners from three starters.
A win bet on Just Buu is in order.
Selections
- #3 Just Buu (5-2)
- #6 Hightail Fox (3-1)
- #1 Words of Fortune (4-1)
Wagers
- $25 to win on #3 Just Buu
Turf Paradise: Race 7: Luke Kruytbosch S. (7 1/2 furlongs on turf, 6:03 p.m. ET)
#4 Bodi Zafa (5-2) hasn’t been seriously challenged in two starts over the Turf Paradise lawn. He won a $30,000 maiden optional claimer by 2 1/4 lengths with a 73 Brisnet Speed rating, then trounced a $75,000 allowance optional claimer by 3 1/4 lengths with a 78 Brisnet Speed rating.
None of Bodi Zafa’s Wednesday rivals have earned a Brisnet Speed rating higher than 77 on turf, so we’ll count on Bodi Zafa to add the Luke Kruytbosch to his win tally.
Selections
- #4 Bodi Zafa (5-2)
- #5 Border Vigil (6-1)
- #3 Don’t Fly Stand By (3-1)
Wagers
- $25 to win on #4 Bodi Zafa
Carryover Watch
Gulfstream Park: Race 5: $10,251 Super High 5 carryover (5:06 p.m. ET)
If you can select the top five finishers, in order, in Wednesday’s ninth race at Gulfstream Park, you can win a share of the $10,251 carryover up for grabs in the $1 Super High 5.
How difficult is the task? Medium, we’d say. Race 9 is a $17,500 starter optional claimer for three-year-olds sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs on Tapeta. Nine horses have entered, so there are 15,120 possible Super High 5 outcomes.
We’re on board the #9 Hollywood Mayhem (7-2) bandwagon. He showed speed when debuting in a $35,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Gulfstream, but tired to finish fifth. He subsequently switched to Tapeta and has proven unbeatable over Gulfstream’s synthetic surface.
In a $17,500 maiden claimer dashing 5 1/2 furlongs, Hollywood Mayhem dueled for the lead before taking command to win by 2 1/4 lengths with a 74 Brisnet Speed rating. He ran even better when tackling a five-furlong $17,500 claimer, pressing the pace before drawing off to score by 3 1/4 lengths with an 80 Brisnet Speed rating.
The other major win threat is #7 Dios Will (3-1). He’s set the pace in all three of his starts sprinting over the Gulfstream Tapeta. First, he trounced a $16,000 maiden claimer by 5 1/4 lengths, earning an 85 Brisnet Speed rating. Then he finished second in back-to-back $35,000 starter optional claimers, earning Brisnet Speed ratings of 77 and 78.
We recommend building Super High 5 tickets around Hollywood Mayhem and Dios Will, boxing them to finish first and second in either order.
Who else should you use? Certainly #1 My Sergeant (4-1), who earned a 78 Brisnet Speed rating when graduating in a 5 1/2-furlong $17,500 maiden claimer over the Gulfstream Tapeta. #6 Carcone (6-1) ran second to Hollywood Mayhem in the latter’s $17,500 claiming win and has every chance to finish in the top three or four on Wednesday. And #4 Western Shaft (30-1) could be a live longshot while adding Lasix and cutting back in distance.
Here’s how we’ll bet the Super High 5:
- $1 Super High 5: 7,9 with 7,9 with 1,4,6 with 1,2,4,6 with 1,2,4,6,8 ($54)
Good luck!
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