Tipsheet: 2025 Tampa Bay Derby

March 6th, 2025

A talented field of seven sophomores are signed on to travel 1 1/16 miles on the dirt in Saturday’s $400,000 Tampa Bay Derby S. (G3). The 2025 Road to the Kentucky Derby challenge series tilt will reward the first five across the wire with qualifying points on a 50-25-15-10-5 structure.  

Tampa Bay Derby Picks

  • #1 Owen Almighty (5-1)
  • #7 Patch Adams (2-1)
  • #2 Chancer McPatrick (8-5)
  • #3 Hill Road (4-1)

Tampa Bay Derby Wagers

Tampa Bay Derby Contenders

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#1 OWEN ALMIGHTYTop selection dueled throughout when second in the Sam F. Davis S. on the oval and might take this cast all the way on the front end in this one. The Brian Lynch trainee is well drawn on the inside to use his natural speed, and the son of Speightstown has the benefit of having a pair of runs over the oval, too. Irad Ortiz Jr. has the assignment. 

#2 CHANCER MCPATRICKBay son of McKinzie was a two-time Grade 1 hero last season and makes his 2025 debut on this occasion. The three-year-old colt will have blinkers on for the initial time and has been working well in preparation for this tilt. This classy Kentucky-bred will have Flavien Prat in the silks. 

#3 HILL ROADQuality Road colt closed from well back to be third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) in his U. S. bow and will make a first appearance since coming to Chad Brown. The $350,000 yearling purchase has reportedly trained in forward fashion in advance of his sophomore debut, and he is an obvious threat with Tyler Gaffalione in the silks. 

#4 BRODEURMark Casse trainee has won a pair of races as of late and ships in from Arkansas for his first try at this locale. The speedy son of Nyquist will be involved from the break, but he will need to take a big step forward to upset this field. Jose Ortiz will guide the bay. 

#5 FILOSOBreeders’ Futurity (G1) third concluded his juvenile campaign with an unplaced finish in the Kentucky Jockey Club S. (G2) for trainer Chad Summers. The City of Light colt has trained swiftly as of late and could be more involved in the early stages of the race with the addition of blinkers. Dylan Davis has the call. 

#6 NAUGHTY RASCALFlorida-bred was outrun going long in the Sam F. Davis in his last showing but can easily be a top-three player with something closer to his best performance. The three-time stakes winner will be close to the pace from the opening bell, with Samy Camacho taking the reins. 

#7 PATCH ADAMS: Into Mischief sophomore burned a lot of money when fourth in the Southwest S. (G3) at Oaklawn Park, but the bay did make a nice move in the race following a slow start, and I think he rates a big chance with an expected rebound. The Kentucky-bred was a smashing maiden winner beneath the Twin Spires two back, and something resembling that run will have him well-placed in the lane with Florent Geroux coming in to ride.